Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres 8/6/2012
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
The San Diego Padres are 24-30 at home this season and the Chicago Cubs are 16-39 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Padres\' starter Eric Stults is forecasted to have a better game than Cubs\' starter Travis Wood. Eric Stults has a 49% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Travis Wood has a 42% chance of a QS. If Eric Stults has a quality start the Padres has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 1.5 and he has a 8% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 61%. In Travis Wood quality starts the Cubs win 58%. He has a 9% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 58% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Carlos Quentin who averaged 2.39 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Alfonso Soriano who averaged 2.32 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 61% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 16-39, 29% -1538 | Record at Home | 24-30, 44% -530 | San Diego Padres |
| VS San Diego Padres | 3-0, 100% 214 | VS Chicago Cubs | 0-3, 0% -300 | Chicago Cubs |
| vs Team Under .500 | 19-24, 44% -271 | vs Team .500 or Better | 19-36, 35% -1233 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record As Road Underdog | 15-37, 29% -1433 | Record As Home Favorite | 9-8, 53% -42 | San Diego Padres |
| When Travis Wood Starts | 6-8, 43% -80 | When Eric Stults Starts | 2-3, 40% -32 | San Diego Padres |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-8, 27% -376 | Record at Home | 7-5, 58% 156 | San Diego Padres |
| VS San Diego Padres | 0-0 No Games | VS Chicago Cubs | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 3-2, 60% 155 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-8, 33% -227 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-8, 27% -376 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-3, 50% -75 | San Diego Padres |
| When Travis Wood Starts | 0-4, 0% -400 | When Eric Stults Starts | 0-0 No Games | San Diego Padres |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Under
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 24-28, 46% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 25-28, 47% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-8, 20% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-5, 58% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 46-33, 58% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-37, 52% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Travis Wood STARTS | 8-6, 57% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Eric Stults STARTS | 1-4, 20% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 34-21, 62% +2007 San Diego Padres Home Games: 30-24, 56% +265 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 9-2, 82% +896 San Diego Padres Home Games: 4-8, 33% -394
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 34-21, 62% +238 San Diego Padres Home Games: 31-23, 57% +284 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 9-2, 82% +433 San Diego Padres Home Games: 6-6, 50% -49
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 22-17, 56% + 330 San Diego Padres Home Games: 24-27, 47% -570 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 5-3, 62% + 170 San Diego Padres Home Games: 6-6, 50% -60
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game