Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies 8/6/2012
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The Atlanta Braves are 30-20 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Philadelphia Phillies who are 23-30 at home. The Braves have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Vance Worley has a 55% chance of a QS and Ben Sheets a 58% chance. If Vance Worley has a quality start the Phillies has a 59% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.4 and he has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 51%. If Ben Sheets has a quality start the Braves has a 66% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.4 and he has a 50% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 59%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Chase Utley who averaged 1.76 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 56% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Chipper Jones who averaged 2.44 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 71% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 30-20, 60% 1245 | Record at Home | 23-30, 43% -1384 | Atlanta Braves |
| VS Philadelphia Phillies | 7-2, 78% 482 | VS Atlanta Braves | 2-7, 22% -476 | Atlanta Braves |
| vs Team Under .500 | 37-18, 67% 1377 | vs Team .500 or Better | 22-32, 41% -1088 | Atlanta Braves |
| Record as Road Favorite | 13-8, 62% 300 | Record as Home Underdog | 3-8, 27% -473 | Atlanta Braves |
| When Ben Sheets Starts | 3-1, 75% 210 | When Vance Worley Starts | 8-10, 44% -344 | Atlanta Braves |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-3, 67% 341 | Record at Home | 6-5, 55% -74 | Atlanta Braves |
| VS Philadelphia Phillies | 5-0, 100% 493 | VS Atlanta Braves | 0-5, 0% -500 | Atlanta Braves |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 8-4, 67% 427 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-10, 41% -360 | Atlanta Braves |
| Record as Road Favorite | 2-0, 100% 177 | Record as Home Underdog | 0-1, 0% -100 | Atlanta Braves |
| When Ben Sheets Starts | 3-1, 75% 210 | When Vance Worley Starts | 3-2, 60% 81 | Atlanta Braves |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Over
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 22-25, 47% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 31-20, 61% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-5, 38% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-4, 60% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-39, 51% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-45, 45% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Ben Sheets STARTS | 0-4, 0% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Vance Worley STARTS | 12-6, 67% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 27-23, 54% +349 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 25-28, 47% -531 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 6-3, 67% +177 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 7-4, 64% +199
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 24-26, 48% -483 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 25-28, 47% -1051 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 5-4, 56% +51 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 7-4, 64% +110
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 19-21, 48% -410 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 20-22, 48% -420 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 4-3, 57% + 70 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 5-5, 50% -50
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