August 26, 2012 11:28 AM UTC

Los Angeles Angels vs Detroit Tigers 8/26/2012

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The Detroit Tigers are 38-26 at home this season and the Los Angeles Angels are 33-32 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Max Scherzer has a 47% chance of a QS and Ervin Santana a 48% chance. If Max Scherzer has a quality start the Tigers has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.4 and he has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 56%. If Ervin Santana has a quality start the Angels has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.3 and he has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Angels win 53%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Miguel Cabrera who averaged 2.55 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Mike Trout who averaged 2.42 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 59% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers

Los Angeles AngelsRECORDDetroit TigersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road33-32, 51% -295Record at Home38-26, 59% 81Detroit Tigers
VS Detroit Tigers2-4, 33% -182VS Los Angeles Angels4-2, 67% 154Detroit Tigers
vs Team .500 or Better36-40, 47% -1035vs Team .500 or Better35-31, 53% -99Detroit Tigers
Record As Road Underdog11-16, 41% -340Record As Home Favorite34-21, 62% 166Detroit Tigers
When Ervin Santana Starts10-14, 42% -519When Max Scherzer Starts16-9, 64% 366Detroit Tigers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Angels

Los Angeles AngelsRECORDDetroit TigersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-7, 53% 85Record at Home10-5, 67% 84Los Angeles Angels
VS Detroit Tigers1-1, 50% 5VS Los Angeles Angels1-1, 50% -4Los Angeles Angels
vs Team .500 or Better7-15, 32% -830vs Team Under .50011-6, 65% 89Detroit Tigers
Record As Road Underdog4-4, 50% 56Record As Home Favorite9-4, 69% 84Detroit Tigers
When Ervin Santana Starts5-0, 100% 492When Max Scherzer Starts4-1, 80% 176Los Angeles Angels

OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is not trending over or under

Los Angeles AngelsRECORDDetroit TigersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD32-31, 51% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME27-33, 45% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS9-6, 60% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-8, 47% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-36, 53% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-33, 57% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Ervin Santana STARTS13-10, 57% OverOVER-UNDER IN Max Scherzer STARTS10-15, 40% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 33-32, 51% -1362 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 35-29, 55% -27 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 9-6, 60% 0 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 11-4, 73% +401

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 36-29, 55% +9 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 40-24, 62% +519 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 8-7, 53% +22 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 11-4, 73% +289

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 26-30, 46% -700 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 26-27, 49% -370 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 6-6, 50% -60 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 5-8, 38% -380

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