Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers 8/21/2012
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The Detroit Tigers are 34-25 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Toronto Blue Jays who are 25-35 on the road this season. The Tigers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Tigers\' starter Max Scherzer is forecasted to have a better game than Blue Jays\' starter Ricky Romero. Max Scherzer has a 58% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Ricky Romero has a 24% chance of a QS. If Max Scherzer has a quality start the Tigers has a 88% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.1 and he has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 72%. In Ricky Romero quality starts the Blue Jays win 60%. He has a 1% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 60% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Miguel Cabrera who averaged 3.03 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 56% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 79% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Edwin Encarnacion who averaged 2.23 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 45% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 25-35, 42% -689 | Record at Home | 34-25, 58% -46 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 2-1, 67% 108 | VS Toronto Blue Jays | 1-2, 33% -130 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 27-46, 37% -1697 | vs Team .500 or Better | 34-30, 53% -95 | Detroit Tigers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 15-27, 36% -741 | Record As Home Favorite | 30-20, 60% 39 | Detroit Tigers |
| When Ricky Romero Starts | 12-13, 48% -149 | When Max Scherzer Starts | 15-9, 62% 322 | Detroit Tigers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-8, 27% -337 | Record at Home | 7-4, 64% 44 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 2-1, 67% 108 | VS Toronto Blue Jays | 1-2, 33% -130 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 8-18, 31% -772 | vs Team Under .500 | 8-7, 53% -167 | Detroit Tigers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-7, 30% -237 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-3, 67% 44 | Detroit Tigers |
| When Ricky Romero Starts | 1-4, 20% -247 | When Max Scherzer Starts | 4-1, 80% 203 | Detroit Tigers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is not trending over or under
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 26-29, 47% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 27-28, 49% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-5, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-3, 70% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-42, 48% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-33, 57% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Ricky Romero STARTS | 17-7, 71% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Max Scherzer STARTS | 10-14, 42% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 30-30, 50% +65 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 31-28, 53% -205 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 4-7, 36% +130 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 7-4, 64% +123
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 36-24, 60% +417 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 35-24, 59% +187 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 6-5, 55% -45 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 6-5, 55% -143
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 24-24, 50% -240 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 23-27, 46% -670 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 4-5, 44% -150 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 2-8, 20% -680
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