Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets 8/21/2012
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The New York Mets are 28-31 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Colorado Rockies who are 21-34 on the road this season. The Mets have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mets\' starter Chris Young is forecasted to have a better game than Rockies\' starter Jhoulys Chacin. Chris Young has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jhoulys Chacin has a 35% chance of a QS. If Chris Young has a quality start the Mets has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.5 and he has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 65%. In Jhoulys Chacin quality starts the Rockies win 60%. He has a 3% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 60% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Jordany Valdespin who averaged 2.65 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Josh Rutledge who averaged 2.53 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 59% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Colorado Rockies
| Colorado Rockies | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 21-34, 38% -217 | Record at Home | 28-31, 47% -481 | Colorado Rockies |
| VS New York Mets | 2-2, 50% 84 | VS Colorado Rockies | 2-2, 50% 19 | Colorado Rockies |
| vs Team Under .500 | 22-23, 49% 54 | vs Team Under .500 | 23-23, 50% 298 | New York Mets |
| Record As Road Underdog | 19-26, 42% 412 | Record As Home Favorite | 15-15, 50% -296 | Colorado Rockies |
| When Jhoulys Chacin Starts | 2-3, 40% -90 | When Chris Young Starts | 3-10, 23% -604 | Colorado Rockies |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Colorado Rockies
| Colorado Rockies | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-6, 45% 318 | Record at Home | 2-9, 18% -728 | Colorado Rockies |
| VS New York Mets | 1-0, 100% 219 | VS Colorado Rockies | 0-1, 0% -100 | Colorado Rockies |
| vs Team Under .500 | 6-2, 75% 554 | vs Team Under .500 | 1-3, 25% -224 | Colorado Rockies |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-5, 50% 418 | Record As Home Favorite | 2-6, 25% -428 | Colorado Rockies |
| When Jhoulys Chacin Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Chris Young Starts | 1-4, 20% -278 | Colorado Rockies |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Under
| Colorado Rockies | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 25-29, 46% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 28-27, 51% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-7, 30% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-5, 55% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 34-44, 44% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 42-35, 55% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Jhoulys Chacin STARTS | 2-3, 40% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Chris Young STARTS | 7-5, 58% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 31-24, 56% +1068 New York Mets Home Games: 37-22, 63% +1343 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 5-6, 45% +429 New York Mets Home Games: 6-5, 55% +56
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 30-25, 55% -391 New York Mets Home Games: 39-20, 66% +1421 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 5-6, 45% -344 New York Mets Home Games: 6-5, 55% -12
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 25-18, 58% + 520 New York Mets Home Games: 22-26, 46% -660 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 3-5, 38% -250 New York Mets Home Games: 2-8, 20% -680
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