Cleveland Indians vs Seattle Mariners 8/21/2012
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The Seattle Mariners are 31-30 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Cleveland Indians who are 24-39 on the road this season. The Mariners have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mariners\' starter Felix Hernandez is forecasted to have a better game than Indians\' starter Roberto Hernandez. Felix Hernandez has a 77% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Roberto Hernandez has a 56% chance of a QS. If Felix Hernandez has a quality start the Mariners has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 9 and he has a 69% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mariners win 70%. In Roberto Hernandez quality starts the Indians win 48%. He has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 48% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is John Jaso who averaged 1.92 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 80% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Indians is Asdrubal Cabrera who averaged 1.5 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 20% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Indians have a 56% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Seattle Mariners
| Cleveland Indians | RECORD | Seattle Mariners | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 24-39, 38% -1167 | Record at Home | 31-30, 51% -13 | Seattle Mariners |
| VS Seattle Mariners | 4-2, 67% 208 | VS Cleveland Indians | 2-4, 33% -228 | Cleveland Indians |
| vs Team Under .500 | 20-29, 41% -942 | vs Team .500 or Better | 35-47, 43% -34 | Seattle Mariners |
| Record As Road Underdog | 17-36, 32% -1460 | Record As Home Favorite | 19-8, 70% 757 | Seattle Mariners |
| When Roberto Hernandez Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | When Felix Hernandez Starts | 14-11, 56% 146 | Seattle Mariners |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Seattle Mariners
| Cleveland Indians | RECORD | Seattle Mariners | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 1-15, 6% -1319 | Record at Home | 14-3, 82% 953 | Seattle Mariners |
| VS Seattle Mariners | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Cleveland Indians | 1-0, 100% 88 | Seattle Mariners |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 3-12, 20% -865 | vs Team .500 or Better | 9-8, 53% 142 | Seattle Mariners |
| Record As Road Underdog | 1-13, 7% -1119 | Record As Home Favorite | 11-0, 100% 903 | Seattle Mariners |
| When Roberto Hernandez Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | When Felix Hernandez Starts | 4-1, 80% 250 | Seattle Mariners |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Under
| Cleveland Indians | RECORD | Seattle Mariners | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 33-27, 55% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 23-37, 38% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 12-4, 75% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-11, 31% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-31, 58% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 31-44, 41% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Roberto Hernandez STARTS | 1-0, 100% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Felix Hernandez STARTS | 13-12, 52% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cleveland Indians Road Games: 37-26, 59% +964 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 35-26, 57% +739 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Indians Road Games: 12-4, 75% +744 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 11-6, 65% +381
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cleveland Indians Road Games: 38-25, 60% +477 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 36-25, 59% +529 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Indians Road Games: 11-5, 69% +261 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 13-4, 76% +642
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cleveland Indians Road Games: 29-23, 56% + 370 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 28-25, 53% + 50 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Indians Road Games: 8-7, 53% + 30 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 6-7, 46% -170
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