Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres 8/20/2012
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
The San Diego Padres are 28-32 at home this season and the Pittsburgh Pirates are 30-31 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Edinson Volquez has a 41% chance of a QS and Kevin Correia a 44% chance. If Edinson Volquez has a quality start the Padres has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 1.2 and he has a 1% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 48%. If Kevin Correia has a quality start the Pirates has a 63% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 60%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Carlos Quentin who averaged 2.13 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 63% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Andrew McCutchen who averaged 2.86 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 67% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 30-31, 49% 679 | Record at Home | 28-32, 47% -375 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS San Diego Padres | 1-2, 33% -140 | VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 2-1, 67% 193 | San Diego Padres |
| vs Team Under .500 | 39-20, 66% 1597 | vs Team .500 or Better | 23-42, 35% -1245 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| Record As Road Underdog | 23-29, 44% 343 | Record As Home Favorite | 12-9, 57% 91 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Kevin Correia Starts | 12-9, 57% 534 | When Edinson Volquez Starts | 12-13, 48% 86 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-5, 62% 271 | Record at Home | 7-4, 64% 289 | San Diego Padres |
| VS San Diego Padres | 1-2, 33% -140 | VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 2-1, 67% 193 | San Diego Padres |
| vs Team Under .500 | 9-6, 60% 72 | vs Team Under .500 | 7-4, 64% 305 | San Diego Padres |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-3, 57% 202 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-3, 50% -67 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Kevin Correia Starts | 2-1, 67% 116 | When Edinson Volquez Starts | 2-3, 40% -35 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Over
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 32-25, 56% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 29-30, 49% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-5, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-4, 64% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-37, 51% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-37, 52% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Kevin Correia STARTS | 10-9, 53% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Edinson Volquez STARTS | 11-14, 44% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 33-28, 54% +233 San Diego Padres Home Games: 33-27, 55% +232 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 10-3, 77% +409 San Diego Padres Home Games: 5-6, 45% -106
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 35-26, 57% -95 San Diego Padres Home Games: 34-26, 57% +204 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 8-5, 62% +131 San Diego Padres Home Games: 5-6, 45% -153
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 25-29, 46% -690 San Diego Padres Home Games: 26-30, 46% -700 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 5-5, 50% -50 San Diego Padres Home Games: 6-4, 60% + 160
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