New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants 8/1/2012
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The San Francisco Giants are 32-21 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the New York Mets who are 24-28 on the road this season. The Giants have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Giants\' starter Matt Cain is forecasted to have a better game than Mets\' starter Jonathon Niese. Matt Cain has a 75% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jonathon Niese has a 64% chance of a QS. If Matt Cain has a quality start the Giants has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.5 and he has a 58% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Giants win 66%. In Jonathon Niese quality starts the Mets win 51%. He has a 59% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 51% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Buster Posey who averaged 2.02 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 76% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Jordany Valdespin who averaged 1.62 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 24% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 59% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Francisco Giants
| New York Mets | RECORD | San Francisco Giants | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 24-28, 46% 251 | Record at Home | 32-21, 60% 268 | San Francisco Giants |
| VS San Francisco Giants | 2-4, 33% -142 | VS New York Mets | 4-2, 67% 164 | San Francisco Giants |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 29-36, 45% -495 | vs Team .500 or Better | 23-28, 45% -509 | New York Mets |
| Record As Road Underdog | 19-23, 45% 347 | Record As Home Favorite | 29-13, 69% 749 | San Francisco Giants |
| When Jonathon Niese Starts | 9-11, 45% -128 | When Matt Cain Starts | 13-7, 65% 348 | San Francisco Giants |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Francisco Giants
| New York Mets | RECORD | San Francisco Giants | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-8, 33% -244 | Record at Home | 6-5, 55% -157 | San Francisco Giants |
| VS San Francisco Giants | 1-1, 50% 66 | VS New York Mets | 1-1, 50% -31 | New York Mets |
| vs Team Under .500 | 3-5, 38% -158 | vs Team Under .500 | 6-5, 55% -45 | San Francisco Giants |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-7, 36% -144 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-4, 60% -57 | San Francisco Giants |
| When Jonathon Niese Starts | 1-4, 20% -312 | When Matt Cain Starts | 2-2, 50% -34 | San Francisco Giants |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Over
| New York Mets | RECORD | San Francisco Giants | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 34-15, 69% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 17-33, 34% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-5, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-6, 45% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 49-29, 63% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 30-48, 38% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Jonathon Niese STARTS | 12-7, 63% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Matt Cain STARTS | 11-9, 55% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 28-24, 54% +732 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 36-17, 68% +1388 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 5-7, 42% -28 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 7-4, 64% +283
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 27-25, 52% -388 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 37-16, 70% +1248 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 7-5, 58% +63 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 7-4, 64% +73
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 18-23, 44% -730 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 20-26, 43% -860 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 4-7, 36% -370 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 6-5, 55% + 50
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