July 08, 2012 2:57 AM UTC

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/8/2012

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The Los Angeles Dodgers are 20-23 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Arizona Diamondbacks who are 22-21 at home. The Dodgers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Dodgers\' starter Chris Capuano is forecasted to have a better game than Dodgers\' starter Trevor Bauer. Chris Capuano has a 45% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Trevor Bauer has a 35% chance of a QS. If Chris Capuano has a quality start the Dodgers has a 64% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.1 and he has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 60%. In Trevor Bauer quality starts the Diamondbacks win 64%. He has a 6% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Jason Kubel who averaged 2.16 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Jerry Hairston Jr. who averaged 2.56 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 65% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles DodgersRECORDArizona DiamondbacksRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road20-23, 47% -99Record at Home22-21, 51% -368Los Angeles Dodgers
VS Arizona Diamondbacks4-4, 50% 80VS Los Angeles Dodgers4-4, 50% -53Los Angeles Dodgers
vs Team Under .50028-24, 54% 289vs Team .500 or Better16-26, 38% -976Los Angeles Dodgers
Record As Road Underdog12-15, 44% 72Record As Home Favorite18-15, 55% -218Los Angeles Dodgers
When Chris Capuano Starts12-5, 71% 630When Trevor Bauer Starts1-1, 50% 8Los Angeles Dodgers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks

Los Angeles DodgersRECORDArizona DiamondbacksRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-11, 27% -618Record at Home10-5, 67% 172Arizona Diamondbacks
VS Arizona Diamondbacks1-2, 33% -30VS Los Angeles Dodgers2-1, 67% 63Arizona Diamondbacks
vs Team .500 or Better8-14, 36% -498vs Team Under .5009-6, 60% 54Arizona Diamondbacks
Record As Road Underdog2-8, 20% -493Record As Home Favorite9-5, 64% 74Arizona Diamondbacks
When Chris Capuano Starts3-2, 60% 144When Trevor Bauer Starts1-1, 50% 8Los Angeles Dodgers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Over

Los Angeles DodgersRECORDArizona DiamondbacksRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD20-21, 49% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME24-19, 56% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-9, 36% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-7, 53% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-34, 55% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-44, 45% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Chris Capuano STARTS5-12, 29% OverOVER-UNDER IN Trevor Bauer STARTS1-1, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 25-18, 58% +423 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 24-19, 56% +280 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 10-5, 67% +588 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 9-6, 60% +79

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 27-16, 63% +662 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 24-19, 56% +23 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 11-4, 73% +490 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 11-4, 73% +411

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 18-21, 46% -510 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 18-20, 47% -400 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 6-6, 50% -60 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 8-7, 53% + 30

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