Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Indians 7/6/2012
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
The Cleveland Indians are 23-19 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Tampa Bay Rays who are 19-21 on the road this season. The Indians have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Indians\' starter Justin Masterson is forecasted to have a better game than Rays\' starter Alex Cobb. Justin Masterson has a 63% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Alex Cobb has a 54% chance of a QS. If Justin Masterson has a quality start the Indians has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.1 and he has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Indians win 63%. In Alex Cobb quality starts the Rays win 60%. He has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 60% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Indians is Asdrubal Cabrera who averaged 2.07 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Indians have a 72% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Ben Zobrist who averaged 2.07 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 61% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Cleveland Indians | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 19-21, 48% 128 | Record at Home | 23-19, 55% 380 | Cleveland Indians |
| VS Cleveland Indians | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Tampa Bay Rays | 1-0, 100% 86 | Cleveland Indians |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 27-27, 50% -71 | vs Team .500 or Better | 22-26, 46% -249 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 16-15, 52% 491 | Record As Home Favorite | 13-14, 48% -331 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| When Alex Cobb Starts | 3-5, 38% -148 | When Justin Masterson Starts | 7-10, 41% -260 | Tampa Bay Rays |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Indians
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Cleveland Indians | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-8, 47% 2 | Record at Home | 7-3, 70% 354 | Cleveland Indians |
| VS Cleveland Indians | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Tampa Bay Rays | 1-0, 100% 86 | Cleveland Indians |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-11, 31% -609 | vs Team Under .500 | 5-3, 62% 216 | Cleveland Indians |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-5, 55% 231 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-2, 67% 141 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| When Alex Cobb Starts | 1-4, 20% -291 | When Justin Masterson Starts | 3-2, 60% 61 | Cleveland Indians |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Under
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Cleveland Indians | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 15-21, 42% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 20-21, 49% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-8, 43% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-5, 50% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-39, 51% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-39, 50% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Alex Cobb STARTS | 2-6, 25% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Justin Masterson STARTS | 8-8, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 21-19, 52% -44 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 18-24, 43% -482 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 8-7, 53% +59 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 4-6, 40% -185
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 16-24, 40% -1126 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 16-26, 38% -1104 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 5-10, 33% -643 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 3-7, 30% -411
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 15-13, 54% + 70 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 17-13, 57% + 270 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 7-6, 54% + 40 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 5-4, 56% + 60
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game