Milwaukee Brewers vs Houston Astros 7/6/2012
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
The Houston Astros are 23-19 at home this season and the Milwaukee Brewers are 16-23 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. J.A. Happ has a 38% chance of a QS and Yovani Gallardo a 39% chance. If J.A. Happ has a quality start the Astros has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 1.6 and he has a 8% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 51%. If Yovani Gallardo has a quality start the Brewers has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.1 and he has a 11% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 68%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Scott Moore who averaged 2.57 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 54% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Ryan Braun who averaged 3.01 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 53% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 69% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros
| Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 16-23, 41% -688 | Record at Home | 23-19, 55% 685 | Houston Astros |
| VS Houston Astros | 2-3, 40% -179 | VS Milwaukee Brewers | 3-2, 60% 191 | Houston Astros |
| vs Team Under .500 | 21-22, 49% -520 | vs Team .500 or Better | 19-31, 38% -646 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| Record as Road Favorite | 7-9, 44% -297 | Record as Home Underdog | 16-16, 50% 411 | Houston Astros |
| When Yovani Gallardo Starts | 9-8, 53% 17 | When J.A. Happ Starts | 7-9, 44% -61 | Milwaukee Brewers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-8, 33% -387 | Record at Home | 5-7, 42% -247 | Houston Astros |
| VS Houston Astros | 0-0 No Games | VS Milwaukee Brewers | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 6-6, 50% -140 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-15, 32% -735 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| Record as Road Favorite | 1-3, 25% -210 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-4, 33% -195 | Houston Astros |
| When Yovani Gallardo Starts | 4-1, 80% 209 | When J.A. Happ Starts | 2-3, 40% -125 | Milwaukee Brewers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Under
| Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 18-20, 47% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 20-20, 50% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-9, 25% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-7, 36% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-42, 48% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 49-32, 60% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Yovani Gallardo STARTS | 9-8, 53% Over | OVER-UNDER IN J.A. Happ STARTS | 8-8, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 19-20, 49% -328 Houston Astros Home Games: 23-19, 55% +504 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 5-7, 42% -275 Houston Astros Home Games: 5-7, 42% -296
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 19-20, 49% -425 Houston Astros Home Games: 18-24, 43% -870 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 6-6, 50% -108 Houston Astros Home Games: 5-7, 42% -296
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 23-14, 62% + 760 Houston Astros Home Games: 21-13, 62% + 670 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 7-5, 58% + 150 Houston Astros Home Games: 5-4, 56% + 60
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