Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/6/2012
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 20-21 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Los Angeles Dodgers who are 20-21 on the road this season. The Diamondbacks have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Josh Collmenter has a 63% chance of a QS and Clayton Kershaw a 60% chance. If Josh Collmenter has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.6 and he has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 65%. If Clayton Kershaw has a quality start the Dodgers has a 51% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 9 and he has a 67% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 46%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Jason Kubel who averaged 1.93 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Jerry Hairston Jr. who averaged 1.88 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 61% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers
| Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 20-21, 49% 101 | Record at Home | 20-21, 49% -531 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 4-2, 67% 280 | VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 2-4, 33% -216 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| vs Team Under .500 | 28-22, 56% 489 | vs Team .500 or Better | 14-26, 35% -1139 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| Record as Road Favorite | 8-7, 53% -71 | Record as Home Underdog | 3-6, 33% -248 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| When Clayton Kershaw Starts | 11-6, 65% 133 | When Josh Collmenter Starts | 1-4, 20% -272 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks
| Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-9, 40% -152 | Record at Home | 9-5, 64% 80 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 1-0, 100% 170 | VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 0-1, 0% -100 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 8-15, 35% -598 | vs Team Under .500 | 7-4, 64% 82 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| Record as Road Favorite | 2-2, 50% -25 | Record as Home Underdog | 0-0 No Games | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| When Clayton Kershaw Starts | 3-2, 60% 42 | When Josh Collmenter Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Over
| Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 19-20, 49% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 23-18, 56% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-8, 43% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-7, 50% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 42-34, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-44, 45% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Clayton Kershaw STARTS | 8-8, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Josh Collmenter STARTS | 4-1, 80% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 23-18, 56% +260 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 22-19, 54% +117 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 8-7, 53% +225 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 8-6, 57% -13
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 25-16, 61% +499 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 22-19, 54% -140 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 9-6, 60% +127 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 10-4, 71% +319
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 17-20, 46% -500 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 17-19, 47% -390 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 5-7, 42% -270 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 8-6, 57% + 140
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