Colorado Rockies vs Washington Nationals 7/6/2012
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The Washington Nationals are 23-14 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Colorado Rockies who are 13-26 on the road this season. The Nationals have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Nationals\' starter Stephen Strasburg is forecasted to have a better game than Rockies\' starter Drew Pomeranz. Stephen Strasburg has a 57% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Drew Pomeranz has a 25% chance of a QS. If Stephen Strasburg has a quality start the Nationals has a 83% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 11.5 and he has a 74% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 78%. In Drew Pomeranz quality starts the Rockies win 49%. He has a 2% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 49% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Michael Morse who averaged 2.88 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 86% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Carlos Gonzalez who averaged 1.79 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 27% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 44% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Colorado Rockies | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 13-26, 33% -811 | Record at Home | 23-14, 62% 320 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Washington Nationals | 2-2, 50% 84 | VS Colorado Rockies | 2-2, 50% -54 | Colorado Rockies |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 13-27, 32% -1084 | vs Team Under .500 | 18-12, 60% 181 | Washington Nationals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 11-20, 35% -382 | Record As Home Favorite | 19-10, 66% 308 | Washington Nationals |
| When Drew Pomeranz Starts | 2-4, 33% -199 | When Stephen Strasburg Starts | 12-4, 75% 438 | Washington Nationals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Colorado Rockies | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-10, 29% -314 | Record at Home | 6-5, 55% -9 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Washington Nationals | 2-2, 50% 84 | VS Colorado Rockies | 2-2, 50% -54 | Colorado Rockies |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-18, 25% -921 | vs Team Under .500 | 10-6, 62% 372 | Washington Nationals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-9, 31% -214 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-1, 80% 177 | Washington Nationals |
| When Drew Pomeranz Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | When Stephen Strasburg Starts | 3-2, 60% 22 | Washington Nationals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Over
| Colorado Rockies | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 20-19, 51% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 21-15, 58% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-9, 36% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-3, 70% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 34-44, 44% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-39, 50% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Drew Pomeranz STARTS | 3-3, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Stephen Strasburg STARTS | 8-6, 57% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 25-14, 64% +1039 Washington Nationals Home Games: 15-22, 41% -996 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 9-5, 64% +556 Washington Nationals Home Games: 5-6, 45% -224
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 23-16, 59% +104 Washington Nationals Home Games: 20-17, 54% -293 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 11-3, 79% +505 Washington Nationals Home Games: 6-5, 55% -67
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 18-12, 60% + 480 Washington Nationals Home Games: 16-15, 52% -50 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 10-1, 91% + 890 Washington Nationals Home Games: 4-6, 40% -260
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