Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays 7/5/2012
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The Toronto Blue Jays are 23-18 at home this season and the Kansas City Royals are 22-21 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Henderson Alvarez has a 51% chance of a QS and Luke Hochevar a 49% chance. If Henderson Alvarez has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 10% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 71%. If Luke Hochevar has a quality start the Royals has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Royals win 53%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Edwin Encarnacion who averaged 2.25 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 68% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Salvador Perez who averaged 2.28 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 61% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 22-21, 51% 995 | Record at Home | 23-18, 56% 150 | Kansas City Royals |
| VS Toronto Blue Jays | 1-6, 14% -458 | VS Kansas City Royals | 6-1, 86% 414 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 23-28, 45% 326 | vs Team Under .500 | 17-8, 68% 666 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 20-19, 51% 1012 | Record As Home Favorite | 16-12, 57% -41 | Kansas City Royals |
| When Luke Hochevar Starts | 7-10, 41% -141 | When Henderson Alvarez Starts | 5-11, 31% -602 | Kansas City Royals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-10, 38% -208 | Record at Home | 7-6, 54% 6 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| VS Toronto Blue Jays | 1-2, 33% -58 | VS Kansas City Royals | 2-1, 67% 36 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 8-13, 38% -292 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-9, 31% -424 | Kansas City Royals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-9, 36% -195 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-3, 62% 86 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| When Luke Hochevar Starts | 3-2, 60% 115 | When Henderson Alvarez Starts | 2-3, 40% -57 | Kansas City Royals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 19-24, 44% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 22-17, 56% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-11, 31% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-5, 58% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-37, 51% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 47-32, 59% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Luke Hochevar STARTS | 6-11, 35% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Henderson Alvarez STARTS | 8-8, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 18-25, 42% -207 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 16-25, 39% -1025 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 4-12, 25% -845 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 7-6, 54% +30
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 16-27, 37% -1504 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 20-21, 49% -577 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 6-10, 38% -560 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 7-6, 54% -51
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 17-17, 50% -170 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 18-15, 55% + 150 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 6-8, 43% -280 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 6-5, 55% + 50
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