Tampa Bay Rays vs Oakland Athletics 7/31/2012
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
The Oakland Athletics are 30-21 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Tampa Bay Rays who are 25-25 on the road this season. The Athletics have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Athletics\' starter Tommy Milone is forecasted to have a better game than Rays\' starter James Shields. Tommy Milone has a 75% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while James Shields has a 61% chance of a QS. If Tommy Milone has a quality start the Athletics has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 8.3 and he has a 65% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Athletics win 63%. In James Shields quality starts the Rays win 57%. He has a 52% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Oakland Athletics is Yoenis Cespedes who averaged 1.87 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Athletics have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Jeff Keppinger who averaged 1.56 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 21% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 60% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Oakland Athletics
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Oakland Athletics | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 25-25, 50% 482 | Record at Home | 30-21, 59% 1147 | Oakland Athletics |
| VS Oakland Athletics | 1-3, 25% -243 | VS Tampa Bay Rays | 3-1, 75% 314 | Oakland Athletics |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 35-35, 50% 50 | vs Team .500 or Better | 38-30, 56% 1873 | Oakland Athletics |
| Record As Road Underdog | 21-17, 55% 968 | Record As Home Favorite | 10-5, 67% 346 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| When James Shields Starts | 12-9, 57% 267 | When Tommy Milone Starts | 12-8, 60% 501 | Oakland Athletics |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Oakland Athletics
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Oakland Athletics | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-5, 55% 254 | Record at Home | 11-2, 85% 1011 | Oakland Athletics |
| VS Oakland Athletics | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Tampa Bay Rays | 1-0, 100% 116 | Oakland Athletics |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-6, 45% -51 | vs Team Under .500 | 13-3, 81% 1205 | Oakland Athletics |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-3, 62% 377 | Record As Home Favorite | 2-1, 67% 54 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| When James Shields Starts | 3-2, 60% 62 | When Tommy Milone Starts | 3-1, 75% 179 | Oakland Athletics |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Under
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Oakland Athletics | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 20-26, 43% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 19-31, 38% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-6, 45% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-10, 23% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-39, 51% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-30, 59% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN James Shields STARTS | 11-10, 52% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Tommy Milone STARTS | 7-13, 35% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 26-24, 52% +120 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 26-25, 51% +39 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 6-5, 55% +250 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 8-5, 62% +411
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 21-29, 42% -1171 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 24-27, 47% -637 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 6-5, 55% +41 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 6-7, 46% -63
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 19-18, 51% -80 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 25-19, 57% + 410 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 5-5, 50% -50 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 7-5, 58% + 150
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