Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers 7/31/2012
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 29-21 at home this season and the Arizona Diamondbacks are 23-26 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Chris Capuano has a 62% chance of a QS and Wade Miley a 62% chance. If Chris Capuano has a quality start the Dodgers has a 62% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.4 and he has a 57% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 51%. If Wade Miley has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 62% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 7.1 and he has a 54% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 55%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Matt Kemp who averaged 2.02 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 62% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Jason Kubel who averaged 1.99 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 70% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers
| Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 23-26, 47% -120 | Record at Home | 29-21, 58% 236 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 6-4, 60% 146 | VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 4-6, 40% -120 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 22-26, 46% -413 | vs Team .500 or Better | 26-24, 52% 203 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 15-19, 44% -77 | Record As Home Favorite | 22-14, 61% 158 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| When Wade Miley Starts | 11-6, 65% 400 | When Chris Capuano Starts | 13-8, 62% 413 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks
| Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-5, 44% -61 | Record at Home | 5-6, 45% -151 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 4-1, 80% 262 | VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 1-4, 20% -230 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 7-8, 47% -115 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-10, 33% -420 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-5, 38% -138 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-4, 43% -187 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| When Wade Miley Starts | 2-2, 50% -26 | When Chris Capuano Starts | 2-3, 40% -101 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Under
| Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 18-28, 39% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 22-25, 47% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-6, 25% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-5, 55% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-39, 51% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-36, 50% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Wade Miley STARTS | 7-9, 44% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Chris Capuano STARTS | 8-13, 38% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 25-24, 51% -280 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 31-19, 62% +738 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 7-2, 78% +403 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 7-4, 64% +280
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 27-22, 55% +162 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 31-19, 62% +468 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 6-3, 67% +264 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 6-5, 55% -32
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 16-23, 41% -930 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 20-21, 49% -310 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 6-1, 86% + 490 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 5-4, 56% + 60
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