July 27, 2012 4:59 PM UTC

Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays 7/27/2012

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The Detroit Tigers are 25-25 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Toronto Blue Jays who are 26-22 at home. The Tigers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Tigers\' starter Rick Porcello is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers\' starter Carlos Villanueva. Rick Porcello has a 49% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Carlos Villanueva has a 36% chance of a QS. If Rick Porcello has a quality start the Tigers has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.9 and he has a 42% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 64%. In Carlos Villanueva quality starts the Blue Jays win 75%. He has a 5% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 75% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Edwin Encarnacion who averaged 2.19 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 56% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Miguel Cabrera who averaged 2.89 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 70% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers

Detroit TigersRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road25-25, 50% -313Record at Home26-22, 54% -5Toronto Blue Jays
VS Toronto Blue Jays0-0 No GamesVS Detroit Tigers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better32-31, 51% -344vs Team .500 or Better24-35, 41% -1200Detroit Tigers
Record As Road Underdog10-8, 56% 316Record As Home Favorite19-16, 54% -196Detroit Tigers
When Rick Porcello Starts12-7, 63% 407When Carlos Villanueva Starts4-0, 100% 386Detroit Tigers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers

Detroit TigersRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-5, 55% 57Record at Home7-7, 50% -98Detroit Tigers
VS Toronto Blue Jays0-0 No GamesVS Detroit Tigers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .50010-4, 71% 371vs Team .500 or Better6-10, 38% -414Detroit Tigers
Record As Road Underdog4-1, 80% 326Record As Home Favorite5-5, 50% -118Detroit Tigers
When Rick Porcello Starts4-0, 100% 367When Carlos Villanueva Starts4-0, 100% 386Toronto Blue Jays

OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Under

Detroit TigersRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD21-28, 43% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME26-20, 57% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-7, 30% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS9-5, 64% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-36, 54% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON47-32, 59% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Rick Porcello STARTS8-10, 44% OverOVER-UNDER IN Carlos Villanueva STARTS1-2, 33% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 21-29, 42% -1295 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 23-25, 48% -294 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 7-4, 64% +47 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 10-4, 71% +579

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 23-27, 46% -794 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 26-22, 54% -75 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 7-4, 64% +240 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 10-4, 71% +522

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 22-19, 54% + 110 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 21-19, 52% + 10 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 5-3, 62% + 170 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 6-7, 46% -170

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