Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Angels 7/22/2012
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
The Texas Rangers are 27-21 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Los Angeles Angels who are 26-19 at home. The Rangers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rangers\' starter Matt Harrison is forecasted to have a better game than Rangers\' starter Dan Haren. Matt Harrison has a 61% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Dan Haren has a 54% chance of a QS. If Matt Harrison has a quality start the Rangers has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.8 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rangers win 66%. In Dan Haren quality starts the Angels win 62%. He has a 51% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Mark Trumbo who averaged 1.95 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 57% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Josh Hamilton who averaged 2.15 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 76% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Texas Rangers
| Texas Rangers | RECORD | Los Angeles Angels | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 27-21, 56% -34 | Record at Home | 26-19, 58% -148 | Texas Rangers |
| VS Los Angeles Angels | 4-4, 50% -64 | VS Texas Rangers | 4-4, 50% 20 | Los Angeles Angels |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 34-26, 57% -113 | vs Team .500 or Better | 35-35, 50% -757 | Texas Rangers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-6, 40% -198 | Record As Home Favorite | 25-18, 58% -155 | Los Angeles Angels |
| When Matt Harrison Starts | 13-5, 72% 372 | When Dan Haren Starts | 6-11, 35% -645 | Texas Rangers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Texas Rangers
| Texas Rangers | RECORD | Los Angeles Angels | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-6, 40% -287 | Record at Home | 6-3, 67% 93 | Los Angeles Angels |
| VS Los Angeles Angels | 1-1, 50% -12 | VS Texas Rangers | 1-1, 50% -28 | Texas Rangers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 7-7, 50% -221 | vs Team .500 or Better | 3-6, 33% -318 | Texas Rangers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 0-2, 0% -200 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-2, 75% 193 | Los Angeles Angels |
| When Matt Harrison Starts | 3-1, 75% 53 | When Dan Haren Starts | 2-1, 67% 44 | Texas Rangers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Under
| Texas Rangers | RECORD | Los Angeles Angels | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 21-26, 45% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 17-26, 40% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-7, 30% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-5, 38% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-45, 45% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 29-42, 41% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Matt Harrison STARTS | 5-12, 29% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Dan Haren STARTS | 8-9, 47% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 26-22, 54% -1201 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 20-25, 44% -943 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 5-5, 50% -207 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 5-4, 56% -16
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 28-20, 58% +142 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 21-24, 47% -1001 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 4-6, 40% -292 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 4-5, 44% -253
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 27-20, 57% + 500 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 20-20, 50% -200 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 7-3, 70% + 370 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 6-2, 75% + 380
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