Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres 7/22/2012
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
The Colorado Rockies are 16-28 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the San Diego Padres who are 21-29 at home. The Rockies have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Ross Ohlendorf has a 37% chance of a QS and Christian Friedrich a 38% chance. If Ross Ohlendorf has a quality start the Padres has a 65% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.4 and he has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 47%. If Christian Friedrich has a quality start the Rockies has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rockies win 64%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Carlos Quentin who averaged 2.13 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 58% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Carlos Gonzalez who averaged 2.5 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 73% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| Colorado Rockies | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 16-28, 36% -535 | Record at Home | 21-29, 42% -764 | Colorado Rockies |
| VS San Diego Padres | 5-6, 45% -166 | VS Colorado Rockies | 6-5, 55% 154 | San Diego Padres |
| vs Team Under .500 | 15-18, 45% -265 | vs Team Under .500 | 22-22, 50% 288 | San Diego Padres |
| Record as Road Favorite | 2-7, 22% -529 | Record as Home Underdog | 12-22, 35% -822 | Colorado Rockies |
| When Christian Friedrich Starts | 5-9, 36% -339 | When Ross Ohlendorf Starts | 2-1, 67% 102 | San Diego Padres |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| Colorado Rockies | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-7, 42% 163 | Record at Home | 7-6, 54% 26 | Colorado Rockies |
| VS San Diego Padres | 2-3, 40% -130 | VS Colorado Rockies | 3-2, 60% 144 | San Diego Padres |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 9-13, 41% 4 | vs Team Under .500 | 12-7, 63% 543 | San Diego Padres |
| Record as Road Favorite | 0-2, 0% -200 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-4, 33% -179 | San Diego Padres |
| When Christian Friedrich Starts | 1-5, 17% -363 | When Ross Ohlendorf Starts | 2-0, 100% 202 | San Diego Padres |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Under
| Colorado Rockies | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 22-22, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 23-26, 47% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-8, 33% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-7, 46% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 34-44, 44% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-37, 52% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Christian Friedrich STARTS | 7-7, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Ross Ohlendorf STARTS | 3-0, 100% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 26-18, 59% +639 San Diego Padres Home Games: 29-21, 58% +436 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 6-6, 50% -57 San Diego Padres Home Games: 6-7, 46% -174
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 25-19, 57% -47 San Diego Padres Home Games: 30-20, 60% +455 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 7-5, 58% +10 San Diego Padres Home Games: 8-5, 62% +171
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 22-13, 63% + 770 San Diego Padres Home Games: 21-26, 45% -760 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 8-2, 80% + 580 San Diego Padres Home Games: 3-9, 25% -690
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game