Oakland Athletics vs Texas Rangers 7/1/2012
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
The Texas Rangers are 27-14 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Oakland Athletics who are 18-23 on the road this season. The Rangers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Yu Darvish has a 44% chance of a QS and Travis Blackley a 49% chance. If Yu Darvish has a quality start the Rangers has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 1.4 and he has a 3% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rangers win 60%. If Travis Blackley has a quality start the Athletics has a 66% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.3 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Athletics win 55%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Josh Hamilton who averaged 2.5 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Oakland Athletics is Yoenis Cespedes who averaged 2.52 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Athletics have a 54% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Texas Rangers
| Oakland Athletics | RECORD | Texas Rangers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 18-23, 44% 131 | Record at Home | 27-14, 66% 156 | Texas Rangers |
| VS Texas Rangers | 4-5, 44% 52 | VS Oakland Athletics | 5-4, 56% -116 | Oakland Athletics |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 23-27, 46% 361 | vs Team .500 or Better | 22-14, 61% 233 | Oakland Athletics |
| Record As Road Underdog | 16-21, 43% 152 | Record As Home Favorite | 27-14, 66% 156 | Texas Rangers |
| When Travis Blackley Starts | 2-4, 33% -177 | When Yu Darvish Starts | 11-4, 73% 258 | Texas Rangers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Texas Rangers
| Oakland Athletics | RECORD | Texas Rangers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-9, 40% -305 | Record at Home | 12-3, 80% 359 | Texas Rangers |
| VS Texas Rangers | 3-4, 43% -3 | VS Oakland Athletics | 4-3, 57% -63 | Oakland Athletics |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-11, 31% -454 | vs Team .500 or Better | 11-8, 58% -60 | Texas Rangers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-9, 31% -484 | Record As Home Favorite | 12-3, 80% 359 | Texas Rangers |
| When Travis Blackley Starts | 2-3, 40% -77 | When Yu Darvish Starts | 3-2, 60% -48 | Texas Rangers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Under
| Oakland Athletics | RECORD | Texas Rangers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 14-24, 37% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 19-21, 48% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-9, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-7, 53% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-39, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 55-31, 64% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Travis Blackley STARTS | 2-3, 40% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Yu Darvish STARTS | 7-8, 47% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 18-23, 44% -253 Texas Rangers Home Games: 15-26, 37% -1543 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 7-8, 47% -360 Texas Rangers Home Games: 6-9, 40% -587
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 21-20, 51% -394 Texas Rangers Home Games: 27-14, 66% +156 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 10-5, 67% +251 Texas Rangers Home Games: 12-3, 80% +359
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 14-20, 41% -800 Texas Rangers Home Games: 17-17, 50% -170 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 6-7, 46% -170 Texas Rangers Home Games: 6-7, 46% -170
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game