New York Mets vs Washington Nationals 6/7/2012
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The Washington Nationals are 18-9 at home this season and the New York Mets are 12-14 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Chien-Ming Wang has a 60% chance of a QS and R.A. Dickey a 59% chance. If Chien-Ming Wang has a quality start the Nationals has a 63% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.5 and he has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 58%. If R.A. Dickey has a quality start the Mets has a 57% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.6 and he has a 57% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 50%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Michael Morse who averaged 1.85 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 68% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is David Wright who averaged 2.09 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 64% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| New York Mets | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 12-14, 46% 253 | Record at Home | 18-9, 67% 396 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Washington Nationals | 1-4, 20% -302 | VS New York Mets | 4-1, 80% 220 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 17-16, 52% 248 | vs Team .500 or Better | 18-15, 55% 47 | New York Mets |
| Record as Road Favorite | 1-2, 33% -109 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-0, 100% 198 | Washington Nationals |
| When R.A. Dickey Starts | 9-2, 82% 806 | When Chien-Ming Wang Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | New York Mets |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| New York Mets | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-7, 46% 128 | Record at Home | 6-5, 55% -83 | New York Mets |
| VS Washington Nationals | 0-2, 0% -200 | VS New York Mets | 2-0, 100% 132 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 8-10, 44% 40 | vs Team .500 or Better | 12-9, 57% 193 | Washington Nationals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 0-0 No Games | Record as Home Underdog | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| When R.A. Dickey Starts | 5-0, 100% 523 | When Chien-Ming Wang Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | New York Mets |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Over
| New York Mets | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 20-6, 77% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 15-12, 56% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 10-3, 77% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-3, 73% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 49-29, 63% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-39, 50% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN R.A. Dickey STARTS | 4-7, 36% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Chien-Ming Wang STARTS | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 13-13, 50% +189 Washington Nationals Home Games: 11-16, 41% -705 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 7-6, 54% +310 Washington Nationals Home Games: 4-7, 36% -431
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 14-12, 54% -80 Washington Nationals Home Games: 15-12, 56% -159 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 8-5, 62% +136 Washington Nationals Home Games: 6-5, 55% -83
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 11-9, 55% + 110 Washington Nationals Home Games: 12-10, 55% + 100 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 6-3, 67% + 270 Washington Nationals Home Games: 6-4, 60% + 160
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