Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies 6/27/2012
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
The Washington Nationals are 22-16 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Colorado Rockies who are 16-22 at home. The Nationals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Nationals\' starter Jordan Zimmermann is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals\' starter Edwar Cabrera. Jordan Zimmermann has a 40% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Edwar Cabrera has a 34% chance of a QS. If Jordan Zimmermann has a quality start the Nationals has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 7.2 and he has a 47% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 61%. In Edwar Cabrera quality starts the Rockies win 66%. He has a 11% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Carlos Gonzalez who averaged 2.34 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 57% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Michael Morse who averaged 2.81 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 72% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Colorado Rockies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 22-16, 58% 608 | Record at Home | 16-22, 42% -752 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Colorado Rockies | 1-1, 50% -23 | VS Washington Nationals | 1-1, 50% 58 | Colorado Rockies |
| vs Team Under .500 | 15-10, 60% 131 | vs Team .500 or Better | 15-27, 36% -977 | Washington Nationals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 13-7, 65% 361 | Record as Home Underdog | 4-9, 31% -396 | Washington Nationals |
| When Jordan Zimmermann Starts | 7-7, 50% -57 | When Edwar Cabrera Starts | 0-0 No Games | Colorado Rockies |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Colorado Rockies
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Colorado Rockies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-6, 57% 275 | Record at Home | 7-8, 47% -168 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Colorado Rockies | 1-1, 50% -23 | VS Washington Nationals | 1-1, 50% 58 | Colorado Rockies |
| vs Team Under .500 | 6-8, 43% -351 | vs Team Under .500 | 8-5, 62% 273 | Colorado Rockies |
| Record as Road Favorite | 4-1, 80% 236 | Record as Home Underdog | 1-3, 25% -142 | Washington Nationals |
| When Jordan Zimmermann Starts | 2-3, 40% -105 | When Edwar Cabrera Starts | 0-0 No Games | Colorado Rockies |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Over
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Colorado Rockies | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 14-20, 41% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 23-13, 64% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-8, 33% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 10-5, 67% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-41, 46% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 49-29, 63% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Jordan Zimmermann STARTS | 7-7, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Edwar Cabrera STARTS | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 16-22, 42% -876 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 15-23, 39% -731 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 7-7, 50% -94 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 4-11, 27% -680
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 22-16, 58% +230 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 18-20, 47% -533 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 9-5, 64% +231 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 9-6, 60% +107
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 16-14, 53% + 60 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 14-20, 41% -800 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 7-5, 58% + 150 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 5-10, 33% -600
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game