St. Louis Cardinals vs Miami Marlins 6/27/2012
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
The Miami Marlins are 18-22 at home this season and the St. Louis Cardinals are 23-19 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Marlins\' starter Anibal Sanchez is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals\' starter Joe Kelly. Anibal Sanchez has a 49% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Joe Kelly has a 43% chance of a QS. If Anibal Sanchez has a quality start the Marlins has a 63% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 37% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 53%. In Joe Kelly quality starts the Cardinals win 70%. He has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 70% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Giancarlo Stanton who averaged 2.22 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 61% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Carlos Beltran who averaged 2.27 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 68% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 23-19, 55% 264 | Record at Home | 18-22, 45% -907 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS Miami Marlins | 3-0, 100% 343 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-3, 0% -300 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 23-16, 59% 268 | vs Team .500 or Better | 19-34, 36% -1625 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 9-7, 56% 339 | Record As Home Favorite | 18-18, 50% -507 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Joe Kelly Starts | 2-1, 67% 79 | When Anibal Sanchez Starts | 6-8, 43% -243 | St. Louis Cardinals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 10-8, 56% 94 | Record at Home | 5-12, 29% -804 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS Miami Marlins | 2-0, 100% 174 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-2, 0% -200 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 7-8, 47% -198 | vs Team Under .500 | 3-6, 33% -243 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-3, 57% 126 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-9, 36% -504 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Joe Kelly Starts | 2-1, 67% 79 | When Anibal Sanchez Starts | 2-3, 40% -105 | St. Louis Cardinals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Over
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 21-20, 51% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 24-13, 65% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 12-6, 67% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-8, 47% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 54-33, 62% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-38, 51% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Joe Kelly STARTS | 2-1, 67% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Anibal Sanchez STARTS | 5-9, 36% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 30-12, 71% +878 Miami Marlins Home Games: 22-18, 55% +584 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 15-3, 83% +516 Miami Marlins Home Games: 7-10, 41% -295
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 23-19, 55% +66 Miami Marlins Home Games: 21-19, 52% -167 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 15-3, 83% +1039 Miami Marlins Home Games: 8-9, 47% -163
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 21-13, 62% + 670 Miami Marlins Home Games: 16-13, 55% + 170 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 9-8, 53% + 20 Miami Marlins Home Games: 6-8, 43% -280
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