New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals 6/16/2012
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The Washington Nationals are 18-10 at home this season and the New York Yankees are 18-13 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Jordan Zimmermann has a 64% chance of a QS and Andy Pettitte a 60% chance. If Jordan Zimmermann has a quality start the Nationals has a 62% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.3 and he has a 51% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 53%. If Andy Pettitte has a quality start the Yankees has a 64% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 9.2 and he has a 68% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 53%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Michael Morse who averaged 1.7 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 26% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Robinson Cano who averaged 1.8 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 68% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| New York Yankees | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 18-13, 58% 242 | Record at Home | 18-10, 64% 296 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Washington Nationals | 0-0 No Games | VS New York Yankees | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 20-15, 57% -4 | vs Team .500 or Better | 18-16, 53% -53 | New York Yankees |
| Record as Road Favorite | 13-8, 62% 157 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-1, 67% 98 | New York Yankees |
| When Andy Pettitte Starts | 4-2, 67% 47 | When Jordan Zimmermann Starts | 7-5, 58% 143 | Washington Nationals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees
| New York Yankees | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-4, 69% 399 | Record at Home | 4-5, 44% -220 | New York Yankees |
| VS Washington Nationals | 0-0 No Games | VS New York Yankees | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-4, 56% -47 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-4, 60% 115 | Washington Nationals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 6-2, 75% 232 | Record as Home Underdog | 0-1, 0% -100 | New York Yankees |
| When Andy Pettitte Starts | 4-1, 80% 147 | When Jordan Zimmermann Starts | 3-2, 60% 127 | New York Yankees |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Under
| New York Yankees | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 13-18, 42% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 15-13, 54% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-7, 46% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-4, 56% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 31-46, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-39, 50% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Andy Pettitte STARTS | 1-4, 20% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Jordan Zimmermann STARTS | 6-6, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 15-16, 48% -825 Washington Nationals Home Games: 11-17, 39% -805 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 8-5, 62% -139 Washington Nationals Home Games: 2-7, 22% -568
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 21-10, 68% +714 Washington Nationals Home Games: 15-13, 54% -259 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 9-4, 69% +310 Washington Nationals Home Games: 4-5, 44% -220
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 14-14, 50% -140 Washington Nationals Home Games: 13-10, 57% + 200 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 7-4, 64% + 260 Washington Nationals Home Games: 4-4, 50% -40
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