Washington Nationals vs Toronto Blue Jays 6/12/2012
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
The Toronto Blue Jays are 16-13 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 18-13 on the road this season. The Blue Jays have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Blue Jays\' starter Henderson Alvarez is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals\' starter Chien-Ming Wang. Henderson Alvarez has a 63% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Chien-Ming Wang has a 33% chance of a QS. If Henderson Alvarez has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.1 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 79%. In Chien-Ming Wang quality starts the Nationals win 58%. He has a 8% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 58% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Edwin Encarnacion who averaged 2.34 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 78% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Michael Morse who averaged 1.78 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 50% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 18-13, 58% 499 | Record at Home | 16-13, 55% 43 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Toronto Blue Jays | 1-0, 100% 152 | VS Washington Nationals | 0-1, 0% -100 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 21-17, 55% 180 | vs Team .500 or Better | 19-23, 45% -540 | Washington Nationals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 7-7, 50% 190 | Record As Home Favorite | 11-10, 52% -228 | Washington Nationals |
| When Chien-Ming Wang Starts | 0-2, 0% -200 | When Henderson Alvarez Starts | 3-9, 25% -645 | Washington Nationals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-5, 64% 510 | Record at Home | 8-6, 57% 49 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Toronto Blue Jays | 1-0, 100% 152 | VS Washington Nationals | 0-1, 0% -100 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 9-5, 64% 330 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-9, 40% -272 | Washington Nationals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-5, 50% 168 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-4, 60% 24 | Washington Nationals |
| When Chien-Ming Wang Starts | 0-2, 0% -200 | When Henderson Alvarez Starts | 0-5, 0% -500 | Washington Nationals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Over
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 13-15, 46% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 16-12, 57% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-5, 62% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-8, 38% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-41, 46% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 47-32, 59% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Chien-Ming Wang STARTS | 0-1, 0% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Henderson Alvarez STARTS | 5-7, 42% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 13-18, 42% -705 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 10-19, 34% -903 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 5-9, 36% -391 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 4-10, 29% -636
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 18-13, 58% +215 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 13-16, 45% -626 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 7-7, 50% -139 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 7-7, 50% -188
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 11-13, 46% -330 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 12-11, 52% -10 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 6-5, 55% + 50 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 6-6, 50% -60
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