Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins 5/30/2012
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
The Miami Marlins are 15-10 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 14-12 on the road this season. The Marlins have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Marlins\' starter Josh Johnson is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals\' starter Chien-Ming Wang. Josh Johnson has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Chien-Ming Wang has a 41% chance of a QS. If Josh Johnson has a quality start the Marlins has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 62%. In Chien-Ming Wang quality starts the Nationals win 60%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 60% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Giancarlo Stanton who averaged 2.17 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Adam LaRoche who averaged 2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 59% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 14-12, 54% 133 | Record at Home | 15-10, 60% 64 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Miami Marlins | 2-2, 50% -47 | VS Washington Nationals | 2-2, 50% -33 | Miami Marlins |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 17-12, 59% 348 | vs Team .500 or Better | 14-15, 48% -81 | Washington Nationals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-6, 45% 8 | Record As Home Favorite | 15-9, 62% 164 | Miami Marlins |
| When Chien-Ming Wang Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Josh Johnson Starts | 6-4, 60% 53 | Miami Marlins |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-6, 57% 210 | Record at Home | 9-6, 60% 75 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Miami Marlins | 0-2, 0% -200 | VS Washington Nationals | 2-0, 100% 167 | Miami Marlins |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 9-10, 47% -245 | vs Team .500 or Better | 14-6, 70% 659 | Miami Marlins |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-5, 44% 0 | Record As Home Favorite | 9-5, 64% 175 | Miami Marlins |
| When Chien-Ming Wang Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Josh Johnson Starts | 5-0, 100% 393 | Miami Marlins |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Over
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 11-13, 46% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 18-6, 75% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-5, 62% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 12-3, 80% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-41, 46% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-38, 51% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Chien-Ming Wang STARTS | 0-0 No Games | OVER-UNDER IN Josh Johnson STARTS | 6-2, 75% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 10-16, 38% -787 Miami Marlins Home Games: 16-9, 64% +874 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 40-41, 49% -349 Miami Marlins Home Games: 39-42, 48% -811
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 15-11, 58% +166 Miami Marlins Home Games: 15-10, 60% +163 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 8-6, 57% +77 Miami Marlins Home Games: 9-6, 60% +138
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 10-10, 50% -100 Miami Marlins Home Games: 11-6, 65% + 440 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 7-4, 64% + 260 Miami Marlins Home Games: 7-4, 64% + 260
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