Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins 5/28/2012
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
The Washington Nationals are 14-10 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 13-10 at home. The Nationals have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Nationals\' starter Jordan Zimmermann is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals\' starter Carlos Zambrano. Jordan Zimmermann has a 57% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Carlos Zambrano has a 40% chance of a QS. If Jordan Zimmermann has a quality start the Nationals has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.1 and he has a 42% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 76%. In Carlos Zambrano quality starts the Marlins win 45%. He has a 10% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 45% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Bryan Petersen who averaged 1.44 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 19% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 39% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Adam LaRoche who averaged 2.73 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 87% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 14-10, 58% 333 | Record at Home | 13-10, 57% -103 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Miami Marlins | 2-0, 100% 153 | VS Washington Nationals | 0-2, 0% -200 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 17-10, 63% 548 | vs Team .500 or Better | 12-15, 44% -248 | Washington Nationals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 9-6, 60% 125 | Record as Home Underdog | 0-1, 0% -100 | Washington Nationals |
| When Jordan Zimmermann Starts | 5-4, 56% 48 | When Carlos Zambrano Starts | 4-5, 44% -100 | Washington Nationals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-6, 57% 210 | Record at Home | 8-7, 53% -107 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Miami Marlins | 0-0 No Games | VS Washington Nationals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 9-10, 47% -245 | vs Team .500 or Better | 12-6, 67% 492 | Miami Marlins |
| Record as Road Favorite | 4-3, 57% 10 | Record as Home Underdog | 0-1, 0% -100 | Washington Nationals |
| When Jordan Zimmermann Starts | 2-3, 40% -54 | When Carlos Zambrano Starts | 4-1, 80% 300 | Miami Marlins |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Over
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 10-12, 45% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 17-5, 77% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-5, 62% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 12-3, 80% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-41, 46% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-38, 51% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Jordan Zimmermann STARTS | 4-5, 44% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Carlos Zambrano STARTS | 4-5, 44% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 9-15, 38% -782 Miami Marlins Home Games: 15-8, 65% +879 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 40-41, 49% -349 Miami Marlins Home Games: 39-42, 48% -811
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 13-11, 54% -1 Miami Marlins Home Games: 13-10, 57% -4 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 8-6, 57% +118 Miami Marlins Home Games: 7-8, 47% -229
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 9-9, 50% -90 Miami Marlins Home Games: 10-5, 67% + 450 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 7-4, 64% + 260 Miami Marlins Home Games: 6-3, 67% + 270
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