May 25, 2013 6:14 AM UTC

St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers 5/25/2013

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The Los Angeles Dodgers are 11-14 at home this season and the St. Louis Cardinals are 17-8 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Ted Lilly has a 41% chance of a QS and John Gast a 36% chance. If Ted Lilly has a quality start the Dodgers has a 65% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.1 and he has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 59%. If John Gast has a quality start the Cardinals has a 65% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.8 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 56%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Adrian Gonzalez who averaged 2.14 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Carlos Beltran who averaged 2.17 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 68% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road17-8, 68% 890Record at Home11-14, 44% -734St. Louis Cardinals
VS Los Angeles Dodgers1-0, 100% 84VS St. Louis Cardinals0-1, 0% -100St. Louis Cardinals
vs Team Under .50017-7, 71% 670vs Team .500 or Better9-19, 32% -1272St. Louis Cardinals
Record as Road Favorite8-5, 62% 184Record as Home Underdog0-3, 0% -300St. Louis Cardinals
When John Gast Starts2-0, 100% 145When Ted Lilly Starts0-2, 0% -200St. Louis Cardinals

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-2, 80% 509Record at Home7-9, 44% -457St. Louis Cardinals
VS Los Angeles Dodgers1-0, 100% 84VS St. Louis Cardinals0-1, 0% -100St. Louis Cardinals
vs Team Under .50013-4, 76% 578vs Team .500 or Better2-11, 15% -977St. Louis Cardinals
Record as Road Favorite5-2, 71% 215Record as Home Underdog0-3, 0% -300St. Louis Cardinals
When John Gast Starts2-0, 100% 145When Ted Lilly Starts0-1, 0% -100St. Louis Cardinals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Over

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD11-12, 48% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME16-9, 64% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-4, 56% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS11-5, 69% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-43, 51% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-43, 43% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN John Gast STARTS1-1, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Ted Lilly STARTS2-0, 100% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 6-19, 24% -1527 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 14-11, 56% +411 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 2-8, 20% -680 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 10-6, 62% +501

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 7-18, 28% -1159 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 17-8, 68% +522 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 4-6, 40% -229 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 12-4, 75% +603

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 12-8, 60% + 320 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 7-13, 35% -730 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 5-3, 62% + 170 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 6-8, 43% -280

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