Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves 5/25/2012
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
The Atlanta Braves are 10-7 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 11-10 on the road this season. The Braves have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Braves\' starter Tim Hudson is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals\' starter Ross Detwiler. Tim Hudson has a 66% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Ross Detwiler has a 49% chance of a QS. If Tim Hudson has a quality start the Braves has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.2 and he has a 44% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 69%. In Ross Detwiler quality starts the Nationals win 47%. He has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 47% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Freddie Freeman who averaged 1.99 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 80% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Ryan Zimmerman who averaged 1.58 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 22% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 52% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 11-10, 52% 0 | Record at Home | 10-7, 59% 95 | Atlanta Braves |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 0-0 No Games | VS Washington Nationals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 14-10, 58% 215 | vs Team .500 or Better | 12-14, 46% -148 | Washington Nationals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-4, 43% -46 | Record As Home Favorite | 9-7, 56% -11 | Atlanta Braves |
| When Ross Detwiler Starts | 4-4, 50% -51 | When Tim Hudson Starts | 4-1, 80% 278 | Atlanta Braves |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-8, 43% -246 | Record at Home | 5-6, 45% -218 | Atlanta Braves |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 0-0 No Games | VS Washington Nationals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 7-8, 47% -181 | vs Team .500 or Better | 9-9, 50% 93 | Atlanta Braves |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-4, 33% -154 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-6, 40% -324 | Washington Nationals |
| When Ross Detwiler Starts | 2-3, 40% -135 | When Tim Hudson Starts | 4-1, 80% 278 | Atlanta Braves |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Under
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 7-12, 37% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 8-8, 50% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-7, 46% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-6, 40% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-41, 46% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-40, 47% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Ross Detwiler STARTS | 3-4, 43% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Tim Hudson STARTS | 2-3, 40% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 9-12, 43% -482 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 9-8, 53% -97 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 40-41, 49% -349 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 43-38, 53% -583
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 13-8, 62% +299 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 9-8, 53% -97 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 10-4, 71% +451 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 5-6, 45% -218
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 7-9, 44% -290 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 8-7, 53% + 30 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 6-5, 55% + 50 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 5-5, 50% -50
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