May 22, 2013 3:35 PM UTC

Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels 5/22/2013

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The Los Angeles Angels are 11-13 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Seattle Mariners who are 9-17 on the road this season. The Angels have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Angels\' starter C.J. Wilson is forecasted to have a better game than Mariners\' starter Brandon Maurer. C.J. Wilson has a 61% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Brandon Maurer has a 38% chance of a QS. If C.J. Wilson has a quality start the Angels has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.6 and he has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Angels win 71%. In Brandon Maurer quality starts the Mariners win 54%. He has a 12% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 54% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Mike Trout who averaged 2.37 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 77% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Kyle Seager who averaged 1.86 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 51% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Angels

Seattle MarinersRECORDLos Angeles AngelsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road9-17, 35% -724Record at Home11-13, 46% -421Los Angeles Angels
VS Los Angeles Angels3-2, 60% 81VS Seattle Mariners2-3, 40% -170Seattle Mariners
vs Team Under .5008-9, 47% -188vs Team .500 or Better9-16, 36% -729Seattle Mariners
Record As Road Underdog6-13, 32% -551Record As Home Favorite9-11, 45% -437Los Angeles Angels
When Brandon Maurer Starts2-6, 25% -361When C.J. Wilson Starts4-5, 44% -199Los Angeles Angels

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Seattle Mariners

Seattle MarinersRECORDLos Angeles AngelsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-10, 38% -377Record at Home6-9, 40% -407Seattle Mariners
VS Los Angeles Angels3-2, 60% 81VS Seattle Mariners2-3, 40% -170Seattle Mariners
vs Team Under .5008-6, 57% 114vs Team .500 or Better8-11, 42% -405Seattle Mariners
Record As Road Underdog3-7, 30% -304Record As Home Favorite5-7, 42% -313Seattle Mariners
When Brandon Maurer Starts1-3, 25% -171When C.J. Wilson Starts2-3, 40% -129Los Angeles Angels

OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Over

Seattle MarinersRECORDLos Angeles AngelsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD14-11, 56% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME15-7, 68% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS9-6, 60% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS9-4, 69% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-37, 51% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-41, 46% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Brandon Maurer STARTS4-4, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN C.J. Wilson STARTS5-4, 56% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 14-12, 54% +167 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 12-12, 50% +152 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 10-6, 62% +307 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 7-8, 47% -91

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 16-10, 62% +109 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 12-12, 50% -174 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 10-6, 62% +157 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 7-8, 47% -166

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 11-13, 46% -330 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 6-12, 33% -720 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 6-9, 40% -390 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 3-8, 27% -580

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