Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals 5/18/2012
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
The Washington Nationals are 14-6 at home this season and the Baltimore Orioles are 13-5 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Nationals\' starter Edwin Jackson is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles\' starter Jake Arrieta. Edwin Jackson has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jake Arrieta has a 44% chance of a QS. If Edwin Jackson has a quality start the Nationals has a 66% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.5 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 56%. In Jake Arrieta quality starts the Orioles win 64%. He has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Adam LaRoche who averaged 2.09 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 65% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Adam Jones who averaged 2.09 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 66% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 13-5, 72% 1282 | Record at Home | 14-6, 70% 416 | Baltimore Orioles |
| VS Washington Nationals | 0-0 No Games | VS Baltimore Orioles | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 13-11, 54% 510 | vs Team .500 or Better | 11-7, 61% 235 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record As Road Underdog | 13-5, 72% 1282 | Record As Home Favorite | 12-6, 67% 218 | Baltimore Orioles |
| When Jake Arrieta Starts | 3-5, 38% -148 | When Edwin Jackson Starts | 2-5, 29% -334 | Baltimore Orioles |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-4, 69% 827 | Record at Home | 9-5, 64% 161 | Baltimore Orioles |
| VS Washington Nationals | 0-0 No Games | VS Baltimore Orioles | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 14-7, 67% 976 | vs Team .500 or Better | 8-8, 50% -172 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record As Road Underdog | 9-4, 69% 827 | Record As Home Favorite | 8-5, 62% 61 | Baltimore Orioles |
| When Jake Arrieta Starts | 1-4, 20% -238 | When Edwin Jackson Starts | 1-4, 20% -319 | Baltimore Orioles |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Over
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 9-8, 53% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 11-9, 55% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-7, 42% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 9-5, 64% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 47-30, 61% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-39, 50% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Jake Arrieta STARTS | 5-3, 62% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Edwin Jackson STARTS | 4-3, 57% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 9-9, 50% +626 Washington Nationals Home Games: 9-11, 45% -337 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 42-39, 52% +1423 Washington Nationals Home Games: 38-42, 48% -433
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 8-10, 44% -349 Washington Nationals Home Games: 11-9, 55% -139 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 7-6, 54% -11 Washington Nationals Home Games: 8-6, 57% -39
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 10-6, 62% + 340 Washington Nationals Home Games: 10-6, 62% + 340 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 6-5, 55% + 50 Washington Nationals Home Games: 9-5, 64% + 350
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