San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals 5/14/2012
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
The Washington Nationals are 12-4 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the San Diego Padres who are 3-9 on the road this season. The Nationals have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Nationals\' starter Ross Detwiler is forecasted to have a better game than Padres\' starter Tim Stauffer. Ross Detwiler has a 60% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Tim Stauffer has a 41% chance of a QS. If Ross Detwiler has a quality start the Nationals has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.8 and he has a 40% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 70%. In Tim Stauffer quality starts the Padres win 52%. He has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 52% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Adam LaRoche who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 78% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Yonder Alonso who averaged 1.85 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 52% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-9, 25% -510 | Record at Home | 12-4, 75% 479 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Washington Nationals | 1-2, 33% -92 | VS San Diego Padres | 2-1, 67% 56 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 3-13, 19% -1014 | vs Team Under .500 | 12-7, 63% 170 | Washington Nationals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-9, 18% -598 | Record As Home Favorite | 10-4, 71% 281 | Washington Nationals |
| When Tim Stauffer Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Ross Detwiler Starts | 3-3, 50% -16 | San Diego Padres |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-8, 27% -410 | Record at Home | 10-4, 71% 309 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Washington Nationals | 1-2, 33% -92 | VS San Diego Padres | 2-1, 67% 56 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 2-9, 18% -704 | vs Team Under .500 | 9-4, 69% 227 | Washington Nationals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-8, 20% -498 | Record As Home Favorite | 9-4, 69% 209 | Washington Nationals |
| When Tim Stauffer Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Ross Detwiler Starts | 2-3, 40% -112 | San Diego Padres |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Under
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 5-6, 45% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 7-9, 44% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-6, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-7, 50% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-38, 51% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-39, 50% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Tim Stauffer STARTS | 0-0 No Games | OVER-UNDER IN Ross Detwiler STARTS | 1-4, 20% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 8-4, 67% +839 Washington Nationals Home Games: 7-9, 44% -274 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 36-45, 44% +150 Washington Nationals Home Games: 38-42, 48% -433
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 9-3, 75% +293 Washington Nationals Home Games: 9-7, 56% -76 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 8-3, 73% +213 Washington Nationals Home Games: 9-5, 64% +124
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 7-4, 64% + 260 Washington Nationals Home Games: 6-6, 50% -60 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Washington Nationals Home Games: 6-6, 50% -60
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