Washington Nationals vs Pittsburgh Pirates 5/10/2012
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The Washington Nationals are 6-8 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates who are 8-6 at home. The Nationals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Kevin Correia has a 55% chance of a QS and Stephen Strasburg a 58% chance. If Kevin Correia has a quality start the Pirates has a 58% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.4 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 51%. If Stephen Strasburg has a quality start the Nationals has a 66% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 7.1 and he has a 48% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 62%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Andrew McCutchen who averaged 1.66 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 24% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 58% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Adam LaRoche who averaged 2.01 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 75% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-8, 43% -277 | Record at Home | 8-6, 57% 294 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-2, 0% -200 | VS Washington Nationals | 2-0, 100% 187 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| vs Team Under .500 | 11-7, 61% 106 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-11, 39% -257 | Washington Nationals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 5-6, 45% -185 | Record as Home Underdog | 6-6, 50% 121 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Stephen Strasburg Starts | 5-1, 83% 225 | When Kevin Correia Starts | 2-3, 40% -54 | Washington Nationals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-6, 40% -256 | Record at Home | 6-5, 55% 122 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-2, 0% -200 | VS Washington Nationals | 2-0, 100% 187 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| vs Team Under .500 | 9-6, 60% 27 | vs Team .500 or Better | 8-13, 38% -311 | Washington Nationals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 4-4, 50% -56 | Record as Home Underdog | 4-5, 44% -51 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Stephen Strasburg Starts | 4-1, 80% 154 | When Kevin Correia Starts | 2-3, 40% -54 | Washington Nationals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Under
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 4-9, 31% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 3-10, 23% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-6, 33% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-8, 20% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-41, 46% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-39, 51% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Stephen Strasburg STARTS | 3-3, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Kevin Correia STARTS | 1-3, 25% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 7-7, 50% -228 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 7-7, 50% -56 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 40-41, 49% -348 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 37-43, 46% -759
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 9-5, 64% +276 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 8-6, 57% +59 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 7-3, 70% +307 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 7-4, 64% +191
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 4-7, 36% -370 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 4-8, 33% -480 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 3-5, 38% -250 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 3-7, 30% -470
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