Washington Nationals vs Chicago Cubs 4/7/2012
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The Chicago Cubs are 0-1 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 1-0 on the road this season. The Cubs have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs\' starter Matt Garza is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals\' starter Gio Gonzalez. Matt Garza has a 63% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Gio Gonzalez has a 49% chance of a QS. If Matt Garza has a quality start the Cubs has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.9 and he has a 46% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 63%. In Gio Gonzalez quality starts the Nationals win 57%. He has a 12% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Starlin Castro who averaged 2.29 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Ryan Zimmerman who averaged 2.01 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 58% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 1-0, 100% 71 | Record at Home | 0-1, 0% -100 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 1-0, 100% 71 | VS Washington Nationals | 0-1, 0% -100 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 1-0, 100% 71 | vs Team .500 or Better | 0-1, 0% -100 | Washington Nationals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 0-0 No Games | Record As Home Favorite | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| When Gio Gonzalez Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Matt Garza Starts | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 36-45, 44% 645 | Record at Home | 39-42, 48% -401 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 4-3, 57% 61 | VS Washington Nationals | 3-4, 43% -122 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 45-44, 51% 242 | vs Team .500 or Better | 30-43, 41% -574 | Washington Nationals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 34-44, 44% 582 | Record As Home Favorite | 21-21, 50% -507 | Washington Nationals |
| When Gio Gonzalez Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Matt Garza Starts | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Under
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 0-1, 0% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 0-1, 0% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 0-1, 0% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 0-1, 0% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-41, 46% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-43, 45% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Gio Gonzalez STARTS | 0-0 No Games | OVER-UNDER IN Matt Garza STARTS | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 0-1, 0% -100 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 0-1, 0% -100 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 40-41, 49% -349 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 38-43, 47% -382
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 1-0, 100% +71 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 1-0, 100% +71 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 1-0, 100% +71 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 1-0, 100% +71
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 0-1, 0% -110 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 0-1, 0% -110 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 0-1, 0% -110 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 0-1, 0% -110
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