Washington Nationals vs Chicago Cubs 4/5/2012
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The Washington Nationals are 1-0 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Chicago Cubs who are 0-1 at home. The Nationals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Ryan Dempster has a 51% chance of a QS and Stephen Strasburg a 54% chance. If Ryan Dempster has a quality start the Cubs has a 61% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.9 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 48%. If Stephen Strasburg has a quality start the Nationals has a 66% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.6 and he has a 49% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 59%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Starlin Castro who averaged 1.93 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Ryan Zimmerman who averaged 2.33 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 68% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 1-0, 100% 71 | Record at Home | 0-1, 0% -100 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 1-0, 100% 71 | VS Washington Nationals | 0-1, 0% -100 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 1-0, 100% 71 | vs Team .500 or Better | 0-1, 0% -100 | Washington Nationals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 1-0, 100% 71 | Record as Home Underdog | 0-1, 0% -100 | Washington Nationals |
| When Stephen Strasburg Starts | 1-0, 100% 71 | When Ryan Dempster Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | Washington Nationals |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 36-45, 44% 645 | Record at Home | 39-42, 48% -401 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 4-3, 57% 61 | VS Washington Nationals | 3-4, 43% -122 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 45-44, 51% 242 | vs Team .500 or Better | 30-43, 41% -574 | Washington Nationals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 2-1, 67% 63 | Record as Home Underdog | 18-21, 46% 106 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Stephen Strasburg Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Ryan Dempster Starts | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Under
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 0-1, 0% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 0-1, 0% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 0-1, 0% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 0-1, 0% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-41, 46% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-43, 45% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Stephen Strasburg STARTS | 0-1, 0% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Ryan Dempster STARTS | 0-1, 0% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 0-1, 0% -100 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 0-1, 0% -100 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 40-41, 49% -348 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 38-43, 47% -382
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 1-0, 100% +71 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 1-0, 100% +71 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 1-0, 100% +71 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 1-0, 100% +71
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 0-1, 0% -110 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 0-1, 0% -110 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 0-1, 0% -110 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 0-1, 0% -110
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