April 20, 2013 2:57 AM UTC

Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles Angels 4/20/2013

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The Los Angeles Angels are 3-4 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Detroit Tigers who are 5-5 on the road this season. The Angels have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Angels\' starter Garrett Richards is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers\' starter Rick Porcello. Garrett Richards has a 53% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Rick Porcello has a 41% chance of a QS. If Garrett Richards has a quality start the Angels has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 1.6 and he has a 9% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Angels win 69%. In Rick Porcello quality starts the Tigers win 62%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Albert Pujols who averaged 2.22 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Prince Fielder who averaged 2.33 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 55% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers

Detroit TigersRECORDLos Angeles AngelsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-5, 50% -123Record at Home3-4, 43% -186Detroit Tigers
VS Los Angeles Angels0-1, 0% -100VS Detroit Tigers1-0, 100% 110Los Angeles Angels
vs Team Under .5005-5, 50% -125vs Team .500 or Better3-7, 30% -372Detroit Tigers
Record As Road Underdog0-0 No GamesRecord As Home Favorite2-4, 33% -296Detroit Tigers
When Rick Porcello Starts0-2, 0% -200When Garrett Richards Starts1-0, 100% 57Los Angeles Angels

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Detroit TigersRECORDLos Angeles AngelsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road41-47, 47% -1175Record at Home46-35, 57% -389Los Angeles Angels
VS Los Angeles Angels5-5, 50% -73VS Detroit Tigers5-5, 50% 15Los Angeles Angels
vs Team .500 or Better47-40, 54% 20vs Team .500 or Better49-47, 51% -641Detroit Tigers
Record As Road Underdog14-13, 52% 300Record As Home Favorite43-33, 57% -524Detroit Tigers
When Rick Porcello Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Garrett Richards Starts0-0 No GamesN/A

OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Over

Detroit TigersRECORDLos Angeles AngelsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD5-5, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME5-2, 71% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-5, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-2, 71% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-49, 40% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-41, 46% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Rick Porcello STARTS2-0, 100% OverOVER-UNDER IN Garrett Richards STARTS1-0, 100% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 7-3, 70% +223 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 4-3, 57% +254 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 36-52, 41% -2671 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 35-46, 43% -1637

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 5-5, 50% -107 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 3-4, 43% -180 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 41-47, 47% -1307 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 40-41, 49% -1367

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 2-5, 29% -350 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 2-3, 40% -130 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 43-24, 64% + 1660 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 34-34, 50% -340

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