October 03, 2012 11:06 AM UTC

San Francisco Giants vs Los Angeles Dodgers 10/3/2012

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The Los Angeles Dodgers are 44-36 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the San Francisco Giants who are 46-34 on the road this season. The Dodgers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Dodgers\' starter Clayton Kershaw is forecasted to have a better game than Giants\' starter Ryan Vogelsong. Clayton Kershaw has a 74% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Ryan Vogelsong has a 54% chance of a QS. If Clayton Kershaw has a quality start the Dodgers has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 8.2 and he has a 65% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 70%. In Ryan Vogelsong quality starts the Giants win 46%. He has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 46% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Matt Kemp who averaged 2.16 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 79% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Buster Posey who averaged 1.87 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 52% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Francisco Giants

San Francisco GiantsRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road46-34, 58% 1268Record at Home44-36, 55% -346San Francisco Giants
VS Los Angeles Dodgers10-7, 59% 526VS San Francisco Giants7-10, 41% -242San Francisco Giants
vs Team .500 or Better44-41, 52% 482vs Team .500 or Better40-50, 44% -708San Francisco Giants
Record As Road Underdog23-20, 53% 937Record As Home Favorite36-27, 57% -323San Francisco Giants
When Ryan Vogelsong Starts19-11, 63% 697When Clayton Kershaw Starts19-12, 61% 28San Francisco Giants

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Francisco Giants

San Francisco GiantsRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-4, 64% 350Record at Home7-5, 58% -50San Francisco Giants
VS Los Angeles Dodgers3-2, 60% 223VS San Francisco Giants2-3, 40% -55San Francisco Giants
vs Team .500 or Better12-8, 60% 435vs Team .500 or Better10-13, 43% -285San Francisco Giants
Record As Road Underdog4-1, 80% 424Record As Home Favorite6-4, 60% -49San Francisco Giants
When Ryan Vogelsong Starts2-3, 40% -125When Clayton Kershaw Starts1-2, 33% -165San Francisco Giants

OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Over

San Francisco GiantsRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD51-28, 65% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME33-42, 44% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-5, 55% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-8, 33% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-37, 51% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-36, 50% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Ryan Vogelsong STARTS14-15, 48% OverOVER-UNDER IN Clayton Kershaw STARTS15-14, 52% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 44-36, 55% -114 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 47-33, 59% +1014 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 7-4, 64% +216 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 4-8, 33% -318

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 44-36, 55% +31 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 48-32, 60% +325 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 5-6, 45% -162 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 7-5, 58% -26

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 34-30, 53% + 100 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 26-39, 40% -1690 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 4-6, 40% -260 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 2-8, 20% -680

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