Granada CF @ Barcelona 9/22/2012
AccuScore.com, the leader in sports forecasting, has simulated this game thousands of times one play at a time and the game forecast below is based on these simulations.
There is a 11.5% chance of a draw. In simulations where the game is not a draw Barcelona, at 84.5%, are heavy favorites to beat Granada CF who have a 3.9% chance. In simulation wins, Granada CF upsets Barcelona by averaging 8.6 shots and 3.3 shots on goal. They average 2 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.6 in simulation losses. Overall, the average simulation score is Barcelona 3.2 to Granada CF 0.7.
The leading goal scorer for Granada CF is Floro Flores with a 20% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Granada CF has a 10% chance to win. The leading goal scorer for Barcelona is Lionel Messi with a 85% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Barcelona has a 91% chance to win.
LINES: Granada CF +33.6 --- Barcelona +1.075 --- DRAW +16.75 --- TEAM RECORDS (W-L-D-Pts) Granada CF Road Record: 0-2-0-0, Road Record in '10-11: 4-14-1-13, Barcelona Home Record: 2-0-0-6, Home Record in '10-11: 17-1-1-52
| Granada CF | Trends | Barcelona | Trends |
|---|---|---|---|
| All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) | W-L-D: 0-2-2 | All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) | W-L-D: 4-0-0 |
| Road Games (W-L-D) | W-L-D: 0-2-0 | Home Games (W-L-D) | W-L-D: 2-0-0 |
| vs OPP (W-L-D) | W-L-D: 0-0-0 | vs OPP (W-L-D) | W-L-D: 0-0-0 |
| Win by 2 or More | 0 of 4 games 0% | Win by 2 or More | 2 of 4 games 50% |
| Lose by 2 or More | 1 of 4 games 25% | Lose by 2 or More | 0 of 4 games 0% |
| When Underdog | W-L-D: 0-2-1 | When Underdog | W-L-D: 0-0-0 |
| Road Underdog | W-L-D: 0-2-0 | Home Underdog | W-L-D: 0-0-0 |
| All Games 10-11 | W-L-D: 0-0-0 | All Games 10-11 | W-L-D: 30-2-6 |
| Road 10-11 | W-L-D: 0-0-0 | Home 10-11 | W-L-D: 16-1-2 |
| vs OPP 10-11 | W-L-D: 0-0-0 | vs OPP 10-11 | W-L-D: 0-0-0 |
| Win by 2 or More (10-11) | W-L-D: 0-0-0 | Win by 2 or More (10-11) | 21 of 38 games 55.3% |
| Lose by 2 or More (10-11) | W-L-D: 0-0-0 | Lose by 2 or More (10-11) | 1 of 38 games 2.6% |
| Over-Under | O-U: 0-2 | Over-Under | O-U: 2-1 |
| Road Over-Under | O-U: 0-2 | Home Over-Under | O-U: 1-1 |
| Over-Under vs Opp | O-U: 0-0 | Over-Under vs Opp | O-U: 0-0 |
| Total: 3 or More Goals | 1 of 4 games 25% | Total: 3 or More Goals | 3 of 4 games 75% |
| Total: 2 or Less Goals | 3 of 4 games 75% | Total: 2 or Less Goals | 1 of 4 games 25% |
| Total 10-11: 3 or More Goals | No Games | Total 10-11: 3 or More Goals | 24 of 38 games 63.2% |
| Total 10-11: 2 or Less Goals | No Games | Total 10-11: 2 or Less Goals | 14 of 38 games 36.8% |
