Soccer Game Forecast

Athletic Bilbao @ Valladolid 2/1/2013

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AccuScore.com, the leader in sports forecasting, has simulated this game thousands of times one play at a time and the game forecast below is based on these simulations.

This is a very close match-up. In 10,000 simulations Athletic Bilbao won 36.1%, Valladolid won 36.4% and there was a 27.5% chance of a draw. Overall, the average simulation score is Athletic Bilbao 1.4 to Valladolid 1.4. In simulation wins, Athletic Bilbao averages 11.9 shots and 4.5 shots on goal. They average 2.4 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.6 in simulation losses. When Valladolid wins they average 9.5 shots and 4.6 shots on goal. They average 2.4 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.6 in simulation losses.

The leading goal scorer for Athletic Bilbao is Aduriz with a 40% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Athletic Bilbao has a 56% chance to win. The leading goal scorer for Valladolid is Oscar with a 52% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Valladolid has a 54% chance to win.

LINES: Athletic Bilbao +3.21 --- Valladolid +2.37 --- DRAW +3.49 --- TEAM RECORDS (W-L-D-Pts) Athletic Bilbao Road Record: 2-6-2-8, Road Record in '10-11: 4-9-6-18, Valladolid Home Record: 5-3-3-18, Home Record in '10-11: 0-0-0-0

Athletic BilbaoTrendsValladolidTrends
All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) W-L-D: 7-10-4 All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) W-L-D: 8-9-4
Road Games (W-L-D) W-L-D: 2-6-2 Home Games (W-L-D) W-L-D: 5-3-3
vs OPP (W-L-D) W-L-D: 0-0-0 vs OPP (W-L-D) W-L-D: 0-0-0
Win by 2 or More 2 of 21 games 9.5% Win by 2 or More 4 of 21 games 19%
Lose by 2 or More 7 of 21 games 33.3% Lose by 2 or More 3 of 21 games 14.3%
When Underdog W-L-D: 3-6-2 When Underdog W-L-D: 3-8-2
Road Underdog W-L-D: 2-6-2 Home Underdog W-L-D: 0-2-1
All Games 10-11 W-L-D: 18-16-4 All Games 10-11 W-L-D: 0-0-0
Road 10-11 W-L-D: 6-10-3 Home 10-11 W-L-D: 0-0-0
vs OPP 10-11 W-L-D: 0-0-0 vs OPP 10-11 W-L-D: 0-0-0
Win by 2 or More (10-11) 7 of 38 games 18.4% Win by 2 or More (10-11) W-L-D: 0-0-0
Lose by 2 or More (10-11) 5 of 38 games 13.2% Lose by 2 or More (10-11) W-L-D: 0-0-0
Over-Under O-U: 11-9 Over-Under O-U: 10-7
Road Over-Under O-U: 7-3 Home Over-Under O-U: 5-3
Over-Under vs Opp O-U: 0-0 Over-Under vs Opp O-U: 0-0
Total: 3 or More Goals 12 of 21 games 57.1% Total: 3 or More Goals 11 of 21 games 52.4%
Total: 2 or Less Goals 9 of 21 games 42.9% Total: 2 or Less Goals 10 of 21 games 47.6%
Total 10-11: 3 or More Goals 28 of 38 games 73.7% Total 10-11: 3 or More Goals No Games
Total 10-11: 2 or Less Goals 10 of 38 games 26.3% Total 10-11: 2 or Less Goals No Games
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