Lazio @ Chievo 9/16/2012
AccuScore.com, the leader in sports forecasting, has simulated this game thousands of times one play at a time and the game forecast below is based on these simulations.
There is a 30.7% chance of a draw. In simulations where the game is not a draw Lazio, at 38.7%, are solid favorites to beat Chievo who have a 30.6% chance at home. Overall, the average simulation score is Lazio 1.2 to Chievo 1. In simulation wins, Chievo upsets Lazio by averaging 10.9 shots and 4.7 shots on goal. They average 2 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.4 in simulation losses.
The leading goal scorer for Lazio is Miroslav Klose with a 27% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Lazio has a 62% chance to win. The leading goal scorer for Chievo is David Di Michele with a 28% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Chievo has a 55% chance to win.
LINES: Lazio +2.65 --- Chievo +3.04 --- DRAW +3.18 --- TEAM RECORDS (W-L-D-Pts) Lazio Road Record: 1-0-0-3, Road Record in '10-11: 8-9-2-26, Chievo Home Record: 1-0-0-3, Home Record in '10-11: 8-5-6-30
| Lazio | Trends | Chievo | Trends |
|---|---|---|---|
| All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) | W-L-D: 2-0-0 | All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) | W-L-D: 1-1-0 |
| Road Games (W-L-D) | W-L-D: 1-0-0 | Home Games (W-L-D) | W-L-D: 1-0-0 |
| vs OPP (W-L-D) | W-L-D: 0-0-0 | vs OPP (W-L-D) | W-L-D: 0-0-0 |
| Win by 2 or More | 1 of 2 games 50% | Win by 2 or More | 1 of 2 games 50% |
| Lose by 2 or More | 0 of 2 games 0% | Lose by 2 or More | 1 of 2 games 50% |
| When Favored | W-L-D: 1-0-0 | When Favored | W-L-D: 1-0-0 |
| Road Favorite | W-L-D: 0-0-0 | Home Favorite | W-L-D: 1-0-0 |
| All Games 10-11 | W-L-D: 20-12-6 | All Games 10-11 | W-L-D: 11-14-13 |
| Road 10-11 | W-L-D: 7-9-3 | Home 10-11 | W-L-D: 6-5-8 |
| vs OPP 10-11 | W-L-D: 0-0-0 | vs OPP 10-11 | W-L-D: 0-0-0 |
| Win by 2 or More (10-11) | 11 of 38 games 28.9% | Win by 2 or More (10-11) | 6 of 38 games 15.8% |
| Lose by 2 or More (10-11) | 4 of 38 games 10.5% | Lose by 2 or More (10-11) | 5 of 38 games 13.2% |
| Over-Under | O-U: 1-1 | Over-Under | O-U: 0-0 |
| Road Over-Under | O-U: 0-1 | Home Over-Under | O-U: 0-0 |
| Over-Under vs Opp | O-U: 0-0 | Over-Under vs Opp | O-U: 0-0 |
| Total: 3 or More Goals | 1 of 2 games 50% | Total: 3 or More Goals | 0 of 2 games 0% |
| Total: 2 or Less Goals | 1 of 2 games 50% | Total: 2 or Less Goals | 2 of 2 games 100% |
| Total 10-11: 3 or More Goals | 14 of 38 games 36.8% | Total 10-11: 3 or More Goals | 15 of 38 games 39.5% |
| Total 10-11: 2 or Less Goals | 24 of 38 games 63.2% | Total 10-11: 2 or Less Goals | 23 of 38 games 60.5% |
