Roma @ Lazio 11/11/2012
AccuScore.com, the leader in sports forecasting, has simulated this game thousands of times one play at a time and the game forecast below is based on these simulations.
There is a 24% chance of a draw. In simulations where the game is not a draw Lazio, at 42.2%, are solid favorites to beat Roma who have a 33.9% chance. In simulation wins, Roma upsets Lazio by averaging 13.5 shots and 4.9 shots on goal. They average 3 goals in simulated victories vs just 1.1 in simulation losses. Overall, the average simulation score is Lazio 2.1 to Roma 1.9.
The leading goal scorer for Roma is Osvaldo with a 44% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Roma has a 48% chance to win. The leading goal scorer for Lazio is Klose with a 45% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Lazio has a 58% chance to win.
LINES: Roma +2.67 --- Lazio +2.65 --- DRAW +3.72 --- TEAM RECORDS (W-L-D-Pts) Roma Road Record: 3-2-0-9, Road Record in '10-11: 6-10-3-21, Lazio Home Record: 3-1-1-10, Home Record in '10-11: 10-3-6-36
| Roma | Trends | Lazio | Trends |
|---|---|---|---|
| All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) | W-L-D: 5-4-2 | All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) | W-L-D: 6-4-1 |
| Road Games (W-L-D) | W-L-D: 3-2-0 | Home Games (W-L-D) | W-L-D: 3-1-1 |
| vs OPP (W-L-D) | W-L-D: 0-0-0 | vs OPP (W-L-D) | W-L-D: 0-0-0 |
| Win by 2 or More | 5 of 11 games 45.5% | Win by 2 or More | 3 of 11 games 27.3% |
| Lose by 2 or More | 1 of 11 games 9.1% | Lose by 2 or More | 3 of 11 games 27.3% |
| When Underdog | W-L-D: 1-1-0 | When Underdog | W-L-D: 1-3-0 |
| Road Underdog | W-L-D: 1-1-0 | Home Underdog | W-L-D: 0-0-0 |
| All Games 10-11 | W-L-D: 19-11-8 | All Games 10-11 | W-L-D: 20-12-6 |
| Road 10-11 | W-L-D: 7-8-4 | Home 10-11 | W-L-D: 13-3-3 |
| vs OPP 10-11 | W-L-D: 0-0-0 | vs OPP 10-11 | W-L-D: 0-0-0 |
| Win by 2 or More (10-11) | 7 of 38 games 18.4% | Win by 2 or More (10-11) | 11 of 38 games 28.9% |
| Lose by 2 or More (10-11) | 6 of 38 games 15.8% | Lose by 2 or More (10-11) | 4 of 38 games 10.5% |
| Over-Under | O-U: 8-2 | Over-Under | O-U: 7-2 |
| Road Over-Under | O-U: 4-0 | Home Over-Under | O-U: 3-1 |
| Over-Under vs Opp | O-U: 0-0 | Over-Under vs Opp | O-U: 0-0 |
| Total: 3 or More Goals | 9 of 11 games 81.8% | Total: 3 or More Goals | 7 of 11 games 63.6% |
| Total: 2 or Less Goals | 2 of 11 games 18.2% | Total: 2 or Less Goals | 4 of 11 games 36.4% |
| Total 10-11: 3 or More Goals | 21 of 38 games 55.3% | Total 10-11: 3 or More Goals | 14 of 38 games 36.8% |
| Total 10-11: 2 or Less Goals | 17 of 38 games 44.7% | Total 10-11: 2 or Less Goals | 24 of 38 games 63.2% |
