Soccer Game Forecast

Roma @ Lazio 11/11/2012

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AccuScore.com, the leader in sports forecasting, has simulated this game thousands of times one play at a time and the game forecast below is based on these simulations.

There is a 24% chance of a draw. In simulations where the game is not a draw Lazio, at 42.2%, are solid favorites to beat Roma who have a 33.9% chance. In simulation wins, Roma upsets Lazio by averaging 13.5 shots and 4.9 shots on goal. They average 3 goals in simulated victories vs just 1.1 in simulation losses. Overall, the average simulation score is Lazio 2.1 to Roma 1.9.

The leading goal scorer for Roma is Osvaldo with a 44% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Roma has a 48% chance to win. The leading goal scorer for Lazio is Klose with a 45% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Lazio has a 58% chance to win.

LINES: Roma +2.67 --- Lazio +2.65 --- DRAW +3.72 --- TEAM RECORDS (W-L-D-Pts) Roma Road Record: 3-2-0-9, Road Record in '10-11: 6-10-3-21, Lazio Home Record: 3-1-1-10, Home Record in '10-11: 10-3-6-36

RomaTrendsLazioTrends
All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) W-L-D: 5-4-2 All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) W-L-D: 6-4-1
Road Games (W-L-D) W-L-D: 3-2-0 Home Games (W-L-D) W-L-D: 3-1-1
vs OPP (W-L-D) W-L-D: 0-0-0 vs OPP (W-L-D) W-L-D: 0-0-0
Win by 2 or More 5 of 11 games 45.5% Win by 2 or More 3 of 11 games 27.3%
Lose by 2 or More 1 of 11 games 9.1% Lose by 2 or More 3 of 11 games 27.3%
When Underdog W-L-D: 1-1-0 When Underdog W-L-D: 1-3-0
Road Underdog W-L-D: 1-1-0 Home Underdog W-L-D: 0-0-0
All Games 10-11 W-L-D: 19-11-8 All Games 10-11 W-L-D: 20-12-6
Road 10-11 W-L-D: 7-8-4 Home 10-11 W-L-D: 13-3-3
vs OPP 10-11 W-L-D: 0-0-0 vs OPP 10-11 W-L-D: 0-0-0
Win by 2 or More (10-11) 7 of 38 games 18.4% Win by 2 or More (10-11) 11 of 38 games 28.9%
Lose by 2 or More (10-11) 6 of 38 games 15.8% Lose by 2 or More (10-11) 4 of 38 games 10.5%
Over-Under O-U: 8-2 Over-Under O-U: 7-2
Road Over-Under O-U: 4-0 Home Over-Under O-U: 3-1
Over-Under vs Opp O-U: 0-0 Over-Under vs Opp O-U: 0-0
Total: 3 or More Goals 9 of 11 games 81.8% Total: 3 or More Goals 7 of 11 games 63.6%
Total: 2 or Less Goals 2 of 11 games 18.2% Total: 2 or Less Goals 4 of 11 games 36.4%
Total 10-11: 3 or More Goals 21 of 38 games 55.3% Total 10-11: 3 or More Goals 14 of 38 games 36.8%
Total 10-11: 2 or Less Goals 17 of 38 games 44.7% Total 10-11: 2 or Less Goals 24 of 38 games 63.2%
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