Soccer Game Forecast

Napoli @ Genoa 11/11/2012

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AccuScore.com, the leader in sports forecasting, has simulated this game thousands of times one play at a time and the game forecast below is based on these simulations.

There is a 31.8% chance of a draw. In simulations where the game is not a draw Napoli, at 49.9%, are heavy favorites to beat Genoa who have just a 18.4% chance to win at home. Overall, the average simulation score is Napoli 1.3 to Genoa 0.7. In simulation wins, Genoa upsets Napoli by averaging 7.7 shots and 3.4 shots on goal. They average 1.6 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.3 in simulation losses.

The leading goal scorer for Napoli is Cavani with a 51% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Napoli has a 72% chance to win. The leading goal scorer for Genoa is Immobile with a 16% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Genoa has a 43% chance to win.

LINES: Napoli +2.07 --- Genoa +4.09 --- DRAW +3.42 --- TEAM RECORDS (W-L-D-Pts) Napoli Road Record: 3-1-1-10, Road Record in '10-11: 6-6-7-25, Genoa Home Record: 1-3-2-5, Home Record in '10-11: 9-4-6-33

NapoliTrendsGenoaTrends
All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) W-L-D: 8-1-2 All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) W-L-D: 2-6-3
Road Games (W-L-D) W-L-D: 3-1-1 Home Games (W-L-D) W-L-D: 1-3-2
vs OPP (W-L-D) W-L-D: 0-0-0 vs OPP (W-L-D) W-L-D: 0-0-0
Win by 2 or More 3 of 11 games 27.3% Win by 2 or More 1 of 11 games 9.1%
Lose by 2 or More 1 of 11 games 9.1% Lose by 2 or More 2 of 11 games 18.2%
When Favored W-L-D: 8-0-2 When Favored W-L-D: 1-0-2
Road Favorite W-L-D: 3-0-1 Home Favorite W-L-D: 1-0-2
All Games 10-11 W-L-D: 21-10-7 All Games 10-11 W-L-D: 14-15-9
Road 10-11 W-L-D: 9-7-3 Home 10-11 W-L-D: 10-6-3
vs OPP 10-11 W-L-D: 0-0-0 vs OPP 10-11 W-L-D: 0-0-0
Win by 2 or More (10-11) 11 of 38 games 28.9% Win by 2 or More (10-11) 4 of 38 games 10.5%
Lose by 2 or More (10-11) 6 of 38 games 15.8% Lose by 2 or More (10-11) 5 of 38 games 13.2%
Over-Under O-U: 5-6 Over-Under O-U: 3-7
Road Over-Under O-U: 1-4 Home Over-Under O-U: 2-3
Over-Under vs Opp O-U: 0-0 Over-Under vs Opp O-U: 0-0
Total: 3 or More Goals 5 of 11 games 45.5% Total: 3 or More Goals 3 of 11 games 27.3%
Total: 2 or Less Goals 6 of 11 games 54.5% Total: 2 or Less Goals 8 of 11 games 72.7%
Total 10-11: 3 or More Goals 18 of 38 games 47.4% Total 10-11: 3 or More Goals 15 of 38 games 39.5%
Total 10-11: 2 or Less Goals 20 of 38 games 52.6% Total 10-11: 2 or Less Goals 23 of 38 games 60.5%
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