Stoke City @ Reading 8/18/2012
AccuScore.com, the leader in sports forecasting, has simulated this game thousands of times one play at a time and the game forecast below is based on these simulations.
This is a very close match-up. In 10,000 simulations Stoke City won 35.3%, Reading won 32.8% and there was a 31.9% chance of a draw. Overall, the average simulation score is Stoke City 1.1 to Reading 1.1. In simulation wins, Stoke City averages 9.6 shots and 3 shots on goal. They average 1.9 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.4 in simulation losses. When Reading wins they average 7.8 shots and 3.2 shots on goal. They average 2 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.4 in simulation losses.
The leading goal scorer for Stoke City is Peter Crouch with a 22% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Stoke City has a 60% chance to win. The leading goal scorer for Reading is Pogrebnyak with a 45% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Reading has a 56% chance to win.
LINES: Stoke City +3.26 --- Reading +2.4 --- DRAW +3.37 --- TEAM RECORDS (W-L-D-Pts) Stoke City Road Record: 0-0-0-0, Road Record in '10-11: 4-11-4-16, Reading Home Record: 0-0-0-0, Home Record in '10-11: 0-0-0-0
|All Games (Win-Loss-Draw)||W-L-D: 0-0-0||All Games (Win-Loss-Draw)||W-L-D: 0-0-0|
|Road Games (W-L-D)||W-L-D: 0-0-0||Home Games (W-L-D)||W-L-D: 0-0-0|
|vs OPP (W-L-D)||W-L-D: 0-0-0||vs OPP (W-L-D)||W-L-D: 0-0-0|
|Win by 2 or More||No Games||Win by 2 or More||No Games|
|Lose by 2 or More||No Games||Lose by 2 or More||No Games|
|When Underdog||W-L-D: 0-0-0||When Underdog||W-L-D: 0-0-0|
|Road Underdog||W-L-D: 0-0-0||Home Underdog||W-L-D: 0-0-0|
|All Games 10-11||W-L-D: 13-18-7||All Games 10-11||W-L-D: 0-0-0|
|Road 10-11||W-L-D: 3-13-3||Home 10-11||W-L-D: 0-0-0|
|vs OPP 10-11||W-L-D: 0-0-0||vs OPP 10-11||W-L-D: 0-0-0|
|Win by 2 or More (10-11)||8 of 38 games 21.1%||Win by 2 or More (10-11)||W-L-D: 0-0-0|
|Lose by 2 or More (10-11)||7 of 38 games 18.4%||Lose by 2 or More (10-11)||W-L-D: 0-0-0|
|Over-Under||O-U: 0-0||Over-Under||O-U: 0-0|
|Road Over-Under||O-U: 0-0||Home Over-Under||O-U: 0-0|
|Over-Under vs Opp||O-U: 0-0||Over-Under vs Opp||O-U: 0-0|
|Total: 3 or More Goals||No Games||Total: 3 or More Goals||No Games|
|Total: 2 or Less Goals||No Games||Total: 2 or Less Goals||No Games|
|Total 10-11: 3 or More Goals||17 of 38 games 44.7%||Total 10-11: 3 or More Goals||No Games|
|Total 10-11: 2 or Less Goals||21 of 38 games 55.3%||Total 10-11: 2 or Less Goals||No Games|