Wisconsin vs Oregon 1/2/2012
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Wisconsin winning 47% of simulations, and Oregon 53% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Wisconsin commits fewer turnovers in 39% of simulations and they go on to win 60% when they take care of the ball. Oregon wins 67% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Montee Ball is averaging 142 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (41% chance) then he helps his team win 59%. LaMichael James is averaging 130 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (39% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is OR -6 --- Over/Under line is 72
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Wisconsin | ATS RECORD | Oregon | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 7-6-0 | All Games | 8-5-0 | Oregon |
| Road & Neutral Field | 2-5-0 | Road & Neutral Field | 5-1-0 | Oregon |
| When Underdog | 0-1-0 | When Favored | 7-5-0 | Oregon |
| Non-Conference Opp | 2-2-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 2-1-0 | Oregon |
| Opp .500+ Record | 4-5-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 5-3-0 | Oregon |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.
| Wisconsin | ATS RECORD | Oregon | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 7-4-1 | All Games | 7-3-2 | Oregon |
| Road & Neutral Field | 4-1-1 | Road & Neutral Field | 3-3-1 | Wisconsin |
| When Underdog | 3-0-0 | When Favored | 7-2-2 | Wisconsin |
| Non-Conference Opp | 1-2-1 | Non-Conference Opp | 2-1-0 | Oregon |
| Opp .500+ Record | 5-2-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 4-2-1 | Wisconsin |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Wisconsin | O-U-P RECORD | Oregon | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 9-4-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 10-3-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 4-3-0 | At Home | 6-1-0 | OVER |
| All Totals 2010 | 7-4-1 | All Totals 2010 | 8-4-0 | OVER |
| On Road 2010 | 4-2-0 | At Home 2010 | 5-0-0 | OVER |
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