Western Michigan vs Purdue 12/27/2011
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Western Michigan winning 53% of simulations, and Purdue 47% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Western Michigan commits fewer turnovers in 43% of simulations and they go on to win 67% when they take care of the ball. Purdue wins 60% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Alex Carder is averaging 340 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (41% chance) then he helps his team win 72%. Akeem Shavers is averaging 76 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (32% chance) then he helps his team win 62%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is PUR -2.5 --- Over/Under line is 60
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Western Michigan | ATS RECORD | Purdue | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 7-5-0 | All Games | 6-6-0 | Western Michigan |
| Road & Neutral Field | 4-4-0 | Road & Neutral Field | 3-3-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 4-2-0 | When Favored | 3-2-0 | Western Michigan |
| Non-Conference Opp | 2-2-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 1-3-0 | Western Michigan |
| Opp Under .500 | 4-3-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 4-4-0 | Western Michigan |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.
| Western Michigan | ATS RECORD | Purdue | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 4-6-1 | All Games | 4-7-0 | Western Michigan |
| Road & Neutral Field | 3-2-1 | Road & Neutral Field | 2-3-0 | Western Michigan |
| When Underdog | 1-4-1 | When Favored | 1-3-0 | Purdue |
| Non-Conference Opp | 0-2-1 | Non-Conference Opp | 0-3-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 4-3-0 | Opp Under .500 | 1-1-0 | Western Michigan |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Western Michigan | O-U-P RECORD | Purdue | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 8-4-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 7-4-1 | OVER |
| On Road | 4-4-0 | At Home | 4-1-1 | OVER |
| All Totals 2010 | 6-5-0 | All Totals 2010 | 5-6-0 | No Edge |
| On Road 2010 | 4-2-0 | At Home 2010 | 2-4-0 | No Edge |
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