Utah State vs Ohio 12/17/2011
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Utah State winning 52% of simulations, and Ohio 48% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Utah State commits fewer turnovers in 32% of simulations and they go on to win 68% when they take care of the ball. Ohio wins 63% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Robert Turbin is averaging 123 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (41% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. Donte Harden is averaging 62 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is OH +3 --- Over/Under line is 57.5
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Utah State | ATS RECORD | Ohio | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 5-7-0 | All Games | 6-6-1 | Ohio |
| Road & Neutral Field | 3-4-0 | Road & Neutral Field | 4-3-1 | Ohio |
| When Favored | 2-7-0 | When Underdog | 2-1-1 | Ohio |
| Non-Conference Opp | 3-2-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 3-1-0 | Ohio |
| Opp .500+ Record | 4-2-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 3-1-1 | Ohio |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.
| Utah State | ATS RECORD | Ohio | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 5-6-0 | All Games | 7-5-0 | Ohio |
| Road & Neutral Field | 4-2-0 | Road & Neutral Field | 4-3-0 | Utah State |
| When Favored | 1-2-0 | When Underdog | 2-2-0 | Ohio |
| Non-Conference Opp | 3-1-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 1-3-0 | Utah State |
| Opp .500+ Record | 2-3-0 | Opp Under .500 | 5-3-0 | Ohio |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Utah State | O-U-P RECORD | Ohio | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 7-5-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 7-6-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 4-3-0 | At Home | 2-3-0 | OVER |
| All Totals 2010 | 4-7-0 | All Totals 2010 | 7-4-1 | No Edge |
| On Road 2010 | 3-3-0 | At Home 2010 | 3-1-1 | OVER |
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