UCLA vs Illinois 12/31/2011
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
AccuScore is forecasting a close game with UCLA winning 44% of simulations, and Illinois 56% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. UCLA commits fewer turnovers in 36% of simulations and they go on to win 58% when they take care of the ball. Illinois wins 67% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Johnathan Franklin is averaging 67 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (28% chance) then he helps his team win 57%. Donovonn Young is averaging 74 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (27% chance) then he helps his team win 68%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ILL -2.5 --- Over/Under line is 47
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| UCLA | ATS RECORD | Illinois | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 5-9-0 | All Games | 5-7-0 | Illinois |
| Road & Neutral Field | 2-6-0 | Road & Neutral Field | 3-2-0 | Illinois |
| When Underdog | 4-7-0 | When Favored | 3-7-0 | UCLA |
| Non-Conference Opp | 0-4-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 2-2-0 | Illinois |
| Opp Under .500 | 2-3-0 | Opp Under .500 | 2-2-0 | Illinois |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.
| UCLA | ATS RECORD | Illinois | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 4-8-0 | All Games | 8-4-0 | Illinois |
| Road & Neutral Field | 1-6-0 | Road & Neutral Field | 5-2-0 | Illinois |
| When Underdog | 4-7-0 | When Favored | 3-3-0 | Illinois |
| Non-Conference Opp | 2-1-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 2-2-0 | UCLA |
| Opp .500+ Record | 4-3-0 | Opp Under .500 | 0-2-0 | UCLA |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| UCLA | O-U-P RECORD | Illinois | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 5-9-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 2-10-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 3-5-0 | At Home | 1-6-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals 2010 | 6-6-0 | All Totals 2010 | 7-5-0 | OVER |
| On Road 2010 | 4-3-0 | At Home 2010 | 4-1-0 | OVER |
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