January 03, 2012 1:09 PM UTC

Tulsa vs Brigham Young 12/30/2011

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Brigham Young is a solid favorite with a 60% chance to beat Tulsa. JJ Di Luigi is projected for 54 rushing yards and a 36% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 40% of simulations where Tulsa wins, G.J. Kinne averages 2.15 TD passes vs 0.76 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.13 TDs to 0.97 interceptions. Trey Watts averages 59 rushing yards and 0.58 rushing TDs when Tulsa wins and 54 yards and 0.35 TDs in losses. Brigham Young has a 29% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 74% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BYU -2.5 --- Over/Under line is 55.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

TulsaATS RECORDBrigham YoungATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-6-0All Games8-4-0Brigham Young
Road & Neutral Field5-2-0Road & Neutral Field5-1-0Brigham Young
When Favored5-3-0When Underdog4-0-0Brigham Young
Non-Conference Opp1-4-0Non-Conference Opp8-4-0Brigham Young
Opp .500+ Record3-3-0Opp .500+ Record4-0-0Brigham Young

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.

TulsaATS RECORDBrigham YoungATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games8-4-0All Games8-5-0Tulsa
Road & Neutral Field5-2-0Road & Neutral Field4-3-0Tulsa
When Favored4-3-0When Underdog3-3-0Tulsa
Non-Conference Opp2-2-0Non-Conference Opp8-5-0Brigham Young
Opp .500+ Record5-2-0Opp .500+ Record3-2-0Tulsa

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

TulsaO-U-P RECORDBrigham YoungO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)4-8-1All Totals (O-U-P)6-6-0UNDER
On Road1-5-1At Home3-3-0UNDER
All Totals 20107-5-0All Totals 20103-9-1UNDER
On Road 20103-4-0At Home 20101-4-1UNDER

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