January 03, 2012 1:09 PM UTC

Notre Dame vs Florida State 12/29/2011

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Florida State is a solid favorite with a 60% chance to beat Notre Dame. Devonta Freeman is projected for 79 rushing yards and a 42% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 40% of simulations where Notre Dame wins, Tommy Rees averages 2.2 TD passes vs 0.82 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.22 TDs to 1.08 interceptions. Cierre Wood averages 119 rushing yards and 1.19 rushing TDs when Notre Dame wins and 108 yards and 0.58 TDs in losses. Florida State has a 40% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 71% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is FLAST -3 --- Over/Under line is 46.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Notre DameATS RECORDFlorida StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games4-9-0All Games7-5-0Florida State
Road & Neutral Field1-6-0Road & Neutral Field4-2-0Florida State
When Underdog0-2-0When Favored7-3-0Florida State
Non-Conference Opp3-9-0Non-Conference Opp3-1-0Florida State
Opp .500+ Record3-6-0Opp .500+ Record3-5-0Florida State

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.

Notre DameATS RECORDFlorida StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-4-2All Games7-6-0Notre Dame
Road & Neutral Field5-1-0Road & Neutral Field4-3-0Notre Dame
When Underdog4-1-0When Favored5-4-0Notre Dame
Non-Conference Opp6-3-2Non-Conference Opp3-1-0Florida State
Opp .500+ Record6-4-0Opp .500+ Record6-5-0Notre Dame

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Notre DameO-U-P RECORDFlorida StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)4-8-1All Totals (O-U-P)3-8-1UNDER
On Road2-4-1At Home1-5-0UNDER
All Totals 20104-9-0All Totals 20105-8-0UNDER
On Road 20103-3-0At Home 20101-5-0UNDER

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