North Carolina vs Missouri 12/26/2011
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
AccuScore is forecasting a close game with North Carolina winning 46% of simulations, and Missouri 54% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. North Carolina commits fewer turnovers in 32% of simulations and they go on to win 62% when they take care of the ball. Missouri wins 68% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Bryn Renner is averaging 258 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (33% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. James Franklin is averaging 58 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (32% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MO -5 --- Over/Under line is 52.5
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| North Carolina | ATS RECORD | Missouri | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 5-7-0 | All Games | 6-6-0 | Missouri |
| Road & Neutral Field | 2-4-0 | Road & Neutral Field | 4-3-0 | Missouri |
| When Underdog | 1-3-0 | When Favored | 2-4-0 | Missouri |
| Non-Conference Opp | 1-3-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 2-1-0 | Missouri |
| Opp .500+ Record | 3-4-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 6-3-0 | Missouri |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.
| North Carolina | ATS RECORD | Missouri | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 7-5-0 | All Games | 6-6-0 | North Carolina |
| Road & Neutral Field | 5-2-0 | Road & Neutral Field | 3-3-0 | North Carolina |
| When Underdog | 2-2-0 | When Favored | 4-5-0 | North Carolina |
| Non-Conference Opp | 4-0-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 2-4-0 | North Carolina |
| Opp .500+ Record | 3-3-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 4-5-0 | North Carolina |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| North Carolina | O-U-P RECORD | Missouri | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 6-6-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 6-6-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 3-3-0 | At Home | 1-4-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals 2010 | 7-5-0 | All Totals 2010 | 4-8-0 | UNDER |
| On Road 2010 | 4-3-0 | At Home 2010 | 3-3-0 | OVER |
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